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NBA Matchup - Heat Nuggets Odds Preview

Denver NuggetsMiami Heat
March 19, 7:30 PM | AmericanAirlines Arena

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Odds

41-28TEAM RECORD47-22

The Heat hope to be unwelcoming hosts on Saturday as the Nuggets pay a visit to AmericanAirlines Arena in NBA betting action.

The Heat sit at 47-22 (32-36-1 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Nuggets are currently 41-28 (35-31-3 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Miami is 36-32-1 OU, and Denver is 34-34-1 OU.

View Denver vs Miami Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The Heat are listed as 8-point favorites at most sportsbooks tracked by Odds Shark, with the total listed at 206.5.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Heat at No. 3 and the Nuggets at No. 8 heading into this contest. Handicapping models run by the computers at Odds Shark project a 109-106 result in favor of the Heat.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Miami's No. 8-ranked offense, averaging 101.5 PPG, against a Nuggets defense that ranks No. 21 at 103.3 PPG. The Heat field goal percentage has averaged 47.7% so far, more than the Nuggets shooters have achieved on the year, 47.5% per game.

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Nuggets own the league's No. 21-rated mark, allowing 105.2 points per game when on the road. Miami, on the other hand, rates No. 11 in home scoring.

The Nuggets were an 85-82 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Magic. They covered the 5.5–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (167) made winners of UNDER bettors. Denver got 20 points from Wilson Chandler but lost anyway 85-82 against the Magic on Friday at Amway Center.

The Heat were a 106-85 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Hawks. They covered the 6–point spread as favorites, while the total score (191) made winners of OVER bettors. Miami cruised to victory on Friday, running Atlanta out of the gym and running up a 106-85 score at Philips Arena.

Denver Nuggets Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 4-6
Before playing Toronto are 5-5
After playing Orlando are 5-5
After a loss are 7-3

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 4-6
Before playing Detroit are 5-5
After playing Atlanta are 4-6
After a win are 6-4

A few Nuggets at Heat trends to consider:
Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games at home
Miami is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
Miami is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Denver

Next up:
Denver home to Toronto, Monday, March 21
Miami at Detroit, Wednesday, March 23

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