Spurs and Heat battle down in Miami
The San Antonio Spurs will hit the hardwood in South Beach on Sunday afternoon as they take on LeBron James and the Miami Heat in marquee NBA betting action at the online sportsbooks.
San Antonio and Miami haven't met since last year's playoffs, with the Spurs going 3-4 SU and 4-3 ATS in their seven-game loss in the NBA Finals. Totals bettors have watched the OVER pay out in four of the last five games between the two teams.
The Heat sport a record of 31-12 and 19-24 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Spurs sit at 33-10 and 22-21 ATS on the season. The OVER/UNDER records are 26-17 for the Heat and 25-18 for the Spurs. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news).
Those backing the visitors in this one found the Spurs listed as 4-point underdogs earlier at Bovada. Meanwhile, the OVER/UNDER line for this game was set at 205 at BetOnline but may have moved since opening.
The Heat - Spurs odds would favor the Spurs if the lines were set according to power ranks. Miami is rated No. 12 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Spurs sit at No. 10. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 101-99 win for the Spurs.
Last time out for San Antonio, they were a 105-79 winner as they battled the Hawks on the road. The Spurs covered in the match as a 5-point favorite, while 184 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. San Antonio cruised to victory on Friday, running Atlanta out of the gym and running up a 105-79 score at Philips Arena.
The Heat were a 109-102 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Lakers. They failed to cover the 11-point spread as favorites, while the total score (211) made winners of OVER bettors. Los Angeles was victimized by Chris Bosh for 31 points as the Heat defeated the Lakers 109-102 in NBA action on Thursday.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Miami's No. 8-ranked offense, averaging 104.09 PPG, against a Spurs defense that ranks No. 4 at 96.49 PPG. The Heat field goal percentage has averaged 50.76% so far, more than the Spurs shooters have achieved on the year, 49.4% per game.
A few Spurs at Heat trends to consider:
San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Antonio is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games
San Antonio is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
San Antonio at Houston, Tuesday, January 28th
Miami home to Oklahoma City, Wednesday, January 29th