Trail Blazers on the road against Heat
The OVER has paid out on the NBA totals in eight of the last 10 games between the Portland Trail Blazers and the Miami Heat as those teams meet on the betting lines on Monday.
Portland fell 108-107 at home to Miami when the teams last met on December 28, in a game in which they'd been favored by 7 points on the NBA odds. The two teams have split their last 10 meetings at 5-5 both SU and ATS dating back to 2008.
The Heat sport a record of 47-21 and 32-35-1 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Trail Blazers sit at 45-25 and 37-33 ATS on the season. The OVER/UNDER records are 39-29 for the Heat and 41-28-1 for the Trail Blazers. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news).
The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Heat at No. 17 and the Trail Blazers at No. 8 heading into this contest. Handicapping models run by the computers at Odds Shark project a 100-99 result in favor of the Heat.
Portland was a 124-94 loser in its last match on the road against the Bobcats. They failed to cover the 1-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 218 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. Portland was crushed on Saturday, getting run out of the gym by Charlotte and falling 124-94 at Time Warner Cable Arena.
Miami lost its last outing, a 105-95 result against the Pelicans on March 22. The Heat failed to cover in that game as a 5.5-point favorite, while the 200 combined points took the game OVER the total. Miami got 25 points from LeBron James en route to a 105-95 loss against New Orleans on Saturday at New Orleans Arena.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Miami's No. 10-ranked offense, averaging 103.56 PPG, against a Trail Blazers defense that ranks No. 25 at 103.53 PPG. The Heat field goal percentage has averaged 50.59% so far, more than the Trail Blazers shooters have achieved on the year, 44.94% per game.
Portland at Orlando, Tuesday, March 25th
Miami at Indiana, Wednesday, March 26th