NBA Momentum Swings: Handicapping Basketball Runs
Sitting around your local gym or outdoor court, you’ve probably heard the following adage: “Basketball is a game of runs.”
What those wise guys are saying is that basketball betting is all about momentum. Following from that, is there a way bettors can profit from this reality when wagering on a live NBA game in real time? Absolutely.
The team that maximizes their runs, while minimizing the other team’s runs, is the team that wins the game, plain and simple.
In terms of live NBA betting, the key is picking up on the momentum shifts, and knowing when to react accordingly. Live betting is a growing element of the NBA betting landscape, and figuring out the lay of the land starts with getting a grasp on these streaks.
There are a number of factors that go into whether a team is on a ‘run’, and whether their hot shooting is set to continue or come to an end. Matchups, game situations, foul trouble, strategic changes, and substitutions, among other things, all play a role in a team’s momentum.
A common misconception about momentum is that teams go on a tear because they start lighting it up from the field. That’s only partially true. Sure, teams have to score to go on a run, but most of time, they’re streaking because they’ve stepped it up on the defensive end.
Another thing to remember is sometimes it’s smart to bet against the team with the momentum, unless there’s an obvious reason to stay the course or stay away on a live wager. The run won’t last forever, and value can be had betting the team that’s on the receiving end. Runs go both ways, and usually it’s only a matter of time before the other team puts a stop to the bleeding before responding.
Winning more NBA sports bets is a marathon, not a sprint. And it takes training to avoid the pitfalls that can damage your bankroll.