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Heat vs Celtics Betting preview

The Boston Celtics are home underdogs Sunday against the Miami Heat with the best trend focused on the over-under in NBA betting action.

Five of the past six meetings of the Heat and Celtics played OVER the total while the home team is 7-1 SU the past eight times they met.

Boston will face the 37-13 Heat, who own a 25-25 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Celtics are 23-28 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Heat are 22-26-2 favoring the OVER.

View Miami vs Boston Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks opened the Celtics as 3-point underdogs on the opening line for this contest at 5Dimes. The total was listed at 186.5, but may be on the move.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to new Power Rankings at Odds Shark, it's the No. 19-rated Celtics and the No. 2-rated Heat in this matchup. Predictive computer formulas point to a 102-96 win for the Heat on Sunday.


How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Boston's No. 27-ranked offense (91.6 PPG) against a Heat defense that ranks No. 8 at 93.6 PPG. The Celtics have averaged 45.7% from the field per game, less than the Heat have managed so far this season (48.2% on average).

Defensively, the Heat feature the league's No. 11-rated defense on the road, allowing 96.3 points per game. Boston, meanwhile, comes in at No. 27 in the league in scoring at home.

The Heat were a 113-101 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Raptors. They covered the 7.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (214) made winners of OVER bettors. Miami got 30 points from Chris Bosh en route to a 113-101 victory over Toronto on Friday at Air Canada Centre.

Boston won its last outing, a 100-79 result against the Timberwolves on March 30. The Celtics covered in that game as a 1-point favorite, while the 179 combined points took the game UNDER the total. The battle between the Celtics and Timberwolves didn’t turn out to be much of a battle at all as Minnesota was handed a 100-79 defeat on Friday at Target Center.

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 8-2
Before playing Philadelphia are 6-4
After playing Toronto are 8-2
After a win are 7-3

Boston Celtics Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 7-3
Before playing San Antonio are 7-3
After playing Minnesota are 6-4
After a win are 6-4


A few Heat at Celtics trends to consider:
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Miami
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Miami

Next up:
Miami home to Philadelphia, Tuesday, April 3
Boston home to San Antonio, Wednesday, April 4