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Heat vs. Celtics Game 4 Pick

The Boston Celtics will be looking to pay off on the NBA betting lines once again on Sunday night as they play host to the Miami Heat in the fourth game of the Eastern Conference Finals.

Boston won and covered the posted spread in Game 3 of the set on Friday night, getting a 101-91 home victory to cut the Heat's series lead to 2-1. Rajon Rondo picked up 21 points and 10 assists.

Boston will face the 46-20 Heat, who own a 32-34 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Celtics are 29-37 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Heat are 25-39-2 favoring the OVER.

View Miami vs Boston Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Bettors looking to side with the Celtics in this one saw them open them as 1-point favorites but the betting a BetOnline swung around in favor of Miami. Meanwhile the total was sitting at 182 at shops such as TopBet.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game pits the Celtics, currently No. 17 in the Odds Shark NBA Power Rankings, against the Heat, who rate No. 5 in the most recent survey. Meanwhile, math and computer handicapping models run on this game predict a 99-96 victory for the Heat.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Boston's No. 26-ranked offense, averaging 91.8 PPG, against a Heat defense that ranks No. 4 at 92.5 PPG. The Celtics field goal percentage has averaged 46% so far, less than the Heat shooters have achieved on the year, 46.9% per game.

Defensively, the Heat feature the league's No. 10-rated defense on the road, allowing 95.5 points per game. Boston, meanwhile, comes in at No. 28 in the league in scoring at home.

Miami was a 101-91 loser in its last match on the road against the Celtics. They failed to cover the 2.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 192 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. LeBron James was dynamite, scoring 34 points and adding 8 rebounds but Boston still won, 101-91, over Miami on Friday at TD Garden.

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 8-2
Before playing Boston are 9-1
After playing Boston are 5-5
After a loss are 7-3

Boston Celtics Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 8-2
Before playing Miami are 4-6
After playing Miami are 4-6
After a win are 4-6

 

A few Heat at Celtics trends to consider:
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 12 games on the road
Boston is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Miami
Boston is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
Boston is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games at home

Next up:
Miami home to Boston, Tuesday, June 5
Boston at Miami, Tuesday, June 5

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