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NBA Odds: Heat vs. Pacers

The Miami Heat will be on the road in Indiana on Valentine's Day as they hook up with the Pacers in an NBA Betting matchup.

Miami already knocked off Indiana 118-83 as a favorite at home on the NBA betting lines in January, and they're 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS in the past 10 meetings between the Eastern Conference teams.

View Miami vs Indiana Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks have set the Pacers as 1-point underdogs on the opening line for this contest. The total was listed at 198, but may be on the move.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Pacers - Heat odds would favor the Pacers if the lines were set according to power ranks. Indiana is rated No. 3 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Heat sit at No. 8. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 105-99 win for the Heat.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Indiana's No. 17-ranked offense, averaging 94.6 PPG, against a Heat defense that ranks No. 15 at 95.1 PPG. The Pacers field goal percentage has averaged 42.9% so far, less than the Heat shooters have achieved on the year, 48.5% per game.

Defensively, the Heat feature the league's No. 21-rated defense on the road, allowing 97.9 points per game. Indiana, meanwhile, comes in at No. 16 in the league in scoring at home.

The Heat were a 114-96 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Bucks. They covered the 6-point spread as favorites, while the total score (210) made winners of OVER bettors. Milwaukee was victimized by LeBron James for 35 points as the Heat defeated the Bucks 114-96 in NBA action on Monday.

The Pacers were a 113-109 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Nuggets. They failed to cover the 3-point spread as favorites, while the total score (222) made winners of OVER bettors. Danny Granger went off for 26 points and added 2 rebounds but it wasn't enough as Denver defeated Indiana, 113-109 at Conseco Fieldhouse.

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 7-3
Before playing Cleveland are 8-2
After playing Milwaukee are 7-3
After a win are 8-2

Indiana Pacers Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 3-7
Before playing Cleveland are 6-4
After playing Denver are 5-5
After a loss are 8-2

A few Heat at Pacers trends to consider:
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
Indiana is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

Next up:
Miami at Cleveland, Friday, February 17
Indiana at Cleveland, Wednesday, February 15

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