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NBA odds preview - Nuggets vs. Heat

Denver NuggetsMiami Heat
Nov 3, 7:30 PM | AmericanAirlines Arena

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Odds

0-2TEAM RECORD1-1

The Heat will try to cover the spread at AmericanAirlines Arena on Saturday when they get a visit from the Nuggets in basketball action.

The Nuggets will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 0-2 ATS against the number this season, while the Heat are 1-1 ATS. Denver is 0-2 on the totals; Miami is 1-1.

View Denver vs Miami Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
On the opening line for this matchup, the Heat sat as 9-point favorites. The total had been pegged by the oddsmakers at 205.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
It's a betting matchup between the No. 5-rated Heat and the No. 18-ranked Nuggets, according to the NBA Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring formulas run on this game indicate a potential 92-85 result in favor of the Heat.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Miami's No. 6-ranked offense (102 PPG) against a Nuggets defense that ranks No. 17 at 93 PPG. The Heat have averaged 50.7% from the field per game, more than the Nuggets have managed so far this season (37.8% on average).

Defensively, the Nuggets feature the league's No. 20-rated defense on the road, allowing 93 points per game. Miami, meanwhile, comes in at No. 1 in the league in scoring at home.

In their last action, Denver was a 102-89 loser on the road against the Magic. They failed to cover the 6-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (191) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. The Nuggets endured a 102-89 loss at the hands of the Magic on Friday, despite a 23-point effort from Danilo Gallinari at Amway Center.

In their last action, Miami was a 104-84 loser on the road against the Knicks. They failed to cover the 6-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (188) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Miami was crushed on Friday, getting run out of the gym by New York and falling 104-84 at Madison Square Garden.

Denver Nuggets Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 6-4
Before playing Detroit are 6-4
After playing Orlando are 4-6
After a loss are 8-2

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 8-2
Before playing Phoenix are 4-6
After playing New York are 8-2
After a loss are 6-4

A few Nuggets at Heat trends to consider:
Denver is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Miami's last 17 games

Next up:
Denver home to Detroit, Tuesday, November 6
Miami home to Phoenix, Monday, November 5

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