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Heat on verge of bouncing Bucks

The Miami Heat can sweep the Milwaukee Bucks from the playoffs on Sunday afternoon as those two Eastern Conference clubs meet in Game 4 of their best-of-seven first-round postseason series.

The Heat went up 3-0 on the Bucks on Thursday night in a 104-91 road win as a 7-point favorite on the NBA betting lines at the sportsbooks. LeBron James scored 22 points for Miami in that Game 3 victory, while Dwyane Wade had just four points that day.

This season the Bucks are 38-44 overall and 36-45-1 ATS against the number, while the Heat are 66-16 and 46-36 ATS. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). As for the totals, Milwaukee is 41-41 on the OU, and Miami is 43-39.

View Miami vs Milwaukee Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks such as TopBet had the Bucks installed as 9.5-point underdogs in this particular matchup. The over-under number was listed by most sportsbooks, including Bovada, at 196.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game pits the Bucks, currently No. 14 in the Odds Shark NBA Power Rankings, against the Heat, who rate No. 6 in the most recent survey. Meanwhile, math and computer handicapping models run on this game predict a 107-98 victory for the Heat.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Milwaukee's No. 12-ranked offense (98.9 PPG) against a Heat defense that ranks No. 5 at 95 PPG. The Bucks have averaged 43.5% from the field per game, less than the Heat have managed so far this season (49.6% on average).

Defensively, the Heat feature the league's No. 3-rated defense on the road, giving up 94.4 points per game. Milwaukee, meanwhile, comes in at No. 12 in the league in scoring at home.

In their last action, Miami was a 104-91 winner on the road against the Bucks. They covered the 7-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (195) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Miami earned a 104-91 victory over Milwaukee on Thursday, getting 23 points from Ray Allen at Bradley Center.

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 8-2
Before playing Milwaukee are 9-1
After playing Milwaukee are 10-0
After a win are 10-0

Milwaukee Bucks Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 6-4
Before playing Miami are 5-5
After playing Miami are 1-9
After a loss are 3-7

A few Heat at Bucks trends to consider:
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Milwaukee's last 22 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games

Next up:
Miami home to Milwaukee, Tuesday, April 30
Milwaukee at Miami, Tuesday, April 30