Heat and Pacers tied up for Game 3
The Indiana Pacers will be trying to make it two wins in a row over the top-seeded Miami Heat on Sunday night as those teams battle in Game 3 of the best-of-seven Eastern Conference Finals.
The Pacers topped the Heat 97-93 as a 7.5-point road underdog on the NBA betting lines in Game 2 of the series on Friday night, after Miami won 103-102 as an 8.5-point home favorite back in Game 1. The Heat are riding an 0-3 ATS losing streak.
This season the Pacers are 49-32 overall and 42-39 ATS against the number, while the Heat are 66-16 and 46-36 ATS. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). As for the totals, Indiana is 39-42 on the OU, and Miami is 43-39.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Pacers rated this week at No. 2 and the Heat sitting at No. 6. It may or may not play a role in Odds Shark score prediction models that turned out a 104-100 result in favor of the Heat today.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Indiana's No. 23-ranked offense (94.7 PPG) against a Heat defense that ranks No. 5 at 95 PPG. The Pacers have averaged 43.6% from the field per game, less than the Heat have managed so far this season (49.6% on average).
Defensively, the Heat feature the league's No. 3-rated defense on the road, giving up 94.4 points per game. Indiana, meanwhile, comes in at No. 18 in the league in scoring at home.
Indiana won its last outing, a 97-93 result against the Heat on May 24. The Pacers covered in that game as a 7.5-point underdog, while the 190 combined points took the game OVER the total. Roy Hibbert scored 29 points and added 10 rebounds for a double-double, leading Indiana over Miami, 97-93, on Friday at AmericanAirlines Arena.
Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 6-4
Before playing Indiana are 8-2
After playing Indiana are 6-4
After a loss are 9-1
Indiana Pacers Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 4-6
Before playing Miami are 6-4
After playing Miami are 6-4
After a win are 4-6
A few Heat at Pacers trends to consider:
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 9 games at home
Indiana is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami at Indiana, Tuesday, May 28
Indiana home to Miami, Tuesday, May 28