Warriors look for victory in Denver
The Golden State Warriors will be shorthanded on Tuesday night as they look to even up their best-of-seven NBA betting first-round series on the road against the Denver Nuggets.
Warriors forward David Lee will miss the rest of the postseason with a torn hip flexor suffered in his team's 97-95 loss in Game 1 of the series on Saturday. Andre Miller scored 28 points for Denver in that win, with Wilson Chandler grabbing 13 boards.
Denver battles the Warriors, currently with a 47-35 mark (42-38-2 ATS). The OVER/UNDER records, important for totals bettors, are 46-36 for the Nuggets and 46-35-1 for the Warriors. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news).
The visitors opened this morning as 7-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked at Odds Shark (including 5Dimes), while the total was hovering around 207 at BetOnline and other shops.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Nuggets - Warriors odds would favor the Nuggets if the lines were set according to power ranks. Denver is rated No. 4 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Warriors sit at No. 7. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 107-103 win for the Nuggets.
How They Match Up:
In rebounding, the battle of the boards features Denver's No. 2-rated squad against Golden State's No. 3-rated roster. When it comes to long-range shooting, Denver rates No. 20 in the league with 6.4 per game, while their foes tonight rank No. 8 with 8 per outing.
Defensively, the Warriors feature the league's No. 24-rated defense on the road, giving up 102.9 points per game. Denver, meanwhile, comes in at No. 2 in the league in scoring at home.
Golden State lost its last outing, a 97-95 result against the Nuggets on April 20. The Warriors covered in that game as a 7.5-point underdog, while the 192 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Golden State got 22 points from Klay Thompson but lost anyway 97-95 against the Nuggets on Saturday at Pepsi Center.
Golden State Warriors Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 2-8
Before playing Denver are 5-5
After playing Denver are 5-5
After a loss are 7-3
Denver Nuggets Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 6-4
Before playing Golden State are 6-4
After playing Golden State are 7-3
After a win are 8-2
A few Warriors at Nuggets trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games on the road
Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Golden State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Golden State
Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
Golden State home to Denver, Friday, April 26
Denver at Golden State, Friday, April 26