Heat look to eliminate the Pacers
LeBron James and the Miami Heat will get their chance to finally knock out the Indiana Pacers on Saturday night as the teams meet in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals.
The Heat took a 3-2 lead in the series on Thursday night with a 90-79 victory as a 7.5-point home favorite on the NBA betting lines at the sportsbooks. James led the way for Miami in that Game 5 victory with a team-high 30 points on the night.
The Pacers sit at 49-32 (42-39 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Heat are currently 66-16 (46-36 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Indiana is 39-42 OU, and Miami is 43-39 OU. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news).
The visitors opened this morning as 3-point favorites in this one at most sportsbooks tracked at Odds Shark (including 5Dimes), while the total was hovering around 183.5 at BetOnline and other shops.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game pits the Pacers, currently No. 2 in the Odds Shark NBA Power Rankings, against the Heat, who rate No. 6 in the most recent survey. Meanwhile, math and computer handicapping models run on this game predict a 104-100 victory for the Heat.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Indiana's No. 23-ranked offense (94.7 PPG) against a Heat defense that ranks No. 5 at 95 PPG. The Pacers have averaged 43.6% from the field per game, less than the Heat have managed so far this season (49.6% on average).
Defensively, the Heat feature the league's No. 3-rated defense on the road, giving up 94.4 points per game. Indiana, meanwhile, comes in at No. 18 in the league in scoring at home.
Indiana was a 90-79 loser in its last match on the road against the Heat. They failed to cover the 7.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 169 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. Paul George scored 27 points and added 11 rebounds for a double-double, but his team still lost 90-79 against Miami in NBA action at AmericanAirlines Arena.
Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 6-4
Before playing Indiana are 8-2
After playing Indiana are 7-3
After a win are 7-3
Indiana Pacers Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 8-2
Before playing Miami are 6-4
After playing Miami are 5-5
After a loss are 7-3
A few Heat at Pacers trends to consider:
Miami is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Miami is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami home to Indiana, Monday, June 3
Indiana at Miami, Monday, June 3