Warriors face elimination vs. Spurs
The Golden State Warriors face elimination in their best-of-seven second-round series on Thursday night as they play host to the San Antonio Spurs in Game 6 of the set.
San Antonio grabbed a 3-2 lead in the series on Tuesday night with a 109-91 victory over Golden State as a 7-point home favorite on the NBA odds. Tony Parker was good for 25 points and 10 assists for the Spurs in that Game 5 victory.
Supporters of the Spurs have seen them go 58-24 and 39-41-2 ATS so far this season, while the Warriors are at 47-35 and 42-38-2 ATS. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). In totals betting, the Warriors are 46-35-1, while the Spurs are 36-45-1.
Those backing the visitors in this one found the Spurs listed as 1-point underdogs earlier at Bovada. Meanwhile, the OVER/UNDER line for this game was set at 195.5 at BetOnline but may have moved since opening.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Warriors - Spurs odds would favor the Spurs if the lines were set according to power ranks. Golden State is rated No. 7 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Spurs sit at No. 3. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 107-101 win for the Spurs.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Golden State's No. 7-ranked offense (101.2 PPG) against a Spurs defense that ranks No. 11 at 96.6 PPG. The Warriors have averaged 45.8% from the field per game, less than the Spurs have managed so far this season (48.1% on average).
Defensively, the Spurs feature the league's No. 12-rated defense on the road, giving up 98.9 points per game. Golden State, meanwhile, comes in at No. 11 in the league in scoring at home.
Last time out for Golden State, they were a 109-91 loser as they battled the Spurs on the road. The Warriors failed to cover in the match as a 7-point underdog, while 200 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Golden State got 25 points from Harrison Barnes en route to a 109-91 loss against San Antonio on Tuesday at AT&T Center.
San Antonio Spurs Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 8-2
Before playing Golden State are 7-3
After playing Golden State are 7-3
After a win are 4-6
Golden State Warriors Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 3-7
Before playing San Antonio are 5-5
After playing San Antonio are 6-4
After a loss are 9-1
A few Spurs at Warriors trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Antonio's last 13 games on the road
San Antonio is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games when playing Golden State
San Antonio is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
San Antonio is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Golden State's last 23 games when playing at home against San Antonio
San Antonio home to Golden State, Sunday, May 19
Golden State at San Antonio, Sunday, May 19