Warriors look for home playoff payouts
Sitting at 2-0 ATS so far in the playoffs, the Golden State Warriors will try to pay out on the NBA odds at home on Friday as they play Game 3 of their first-round set against Denver.
Denver topped Golden State 97-95 in Game 1 of the series but didn't manage to cover the 7.5-point spread at the sportsbooks. The Warriors then rebounded with a 131-117 victory in Game 2 on Tuesday night as an 8.5-point underdog on the NBA betting lines.
The Nuggets will look to vanquish their hosts on Friday, as they are 49-33 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Warriors are 42-38-2 ATS. Denver is 46-36 against the total, while Golden State is 46-35-1 versus the number. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news).
For bettors going with the Warriors in this one, they were listed earlier as 1.5-point underdogs on the betting line at Bovada. Totals bettors have seen that number set at 212 for Monday at shops such as 5Dimes.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Power Rankings at Odds Shark have the No. 4-rated Nuggets taking on the No. 7-rated Warriors in this contest. Computer models indicate a possible 107-103 win for the Nuggets on Friday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Golden State's No. 7-ranked offense (101.2 PPG) against a Nuggets defense that ranks No. 23 at 101.1 PPG. The Warriors have averaged 45.8% from the field per game, less than the Nuggets have managed so far this season (47.8% on average).
Defensively, the Nuggets feature the league's No. 26-rated defense on the road, giving up 104.4 points per game. Golden State, meanwhile, comes in at No. 11 in the league in scoring at home.
Golden State won its last outing, a 131-117 result against the Nuggets on April 23. The Warriors covered in that game as an 8.5-point underdog, while the 248 combined points took the game OVER the total. The Warriors got a 30-point performance from Stephen Curry as Golden State handed Denver a 131-117 defeat on Tuesday at Pepsi Center.
Denver Nuggets Trends:
When playing on Friday are 8-2
Before playing Golden State are 7-3
After playing Golden State are 6-4
After a loss are 6-4
Golden State Warriors Trends:
When playing on Friday are 4-6
Before playing Denver are 5-5
After playing Denver are 6-4
After a win are 5-5
A few Nuggets at Warriors trends to consider:
Denver is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Denver's last 22 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Denver's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Golden State's last 22 games when playing at home against Denver
Golden State is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Denver
Denver at Golden State, Sunday, April 28
Golden State home to Denver, Sunday, April 28