Nuggets Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies will be looking for revenge for a previous ATS loss on Friday night as they play on the road in an NBA betting matchup against the Denver Nuggets.
The Nuggets beat the Grizzlies 97-92 as a 7-point road underdog when those Western Conference clubs hit the hardwood in Memphis back on November 19. That was the third UNDER result in the past four games between the two teams for totals bettors.
The Nuggets sport records of 11-12 and 13-10 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Grizzlies sit at 14-5 and 12-6-1 ATS on the season. The OVER/UNDER records are 13-10 for the Nuggets and 9-10 for the Grizzlies. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news).
Sportsbooks such as 5Dimes had set the Nuggets as 1.5-point underdogs on the opening line for this contest. The total was listed earler at 196, but may be on the move at Bovada and other top sites.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Nuggets sit at No. 9 in the current NBA Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the Grizzlies are at No. 3 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Grizzlies will win this game 104-97.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Denver's No. 9-ranked offense, averaging 100.9 PPG, against a Grizzlies defense that ranks No. 1 at 90.7 PPG. The Nuggets field goal percentage has averaged 46.3% so far, more than the Grizzlies shooters have achieved on the year, 44.3% per game.
In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Grizzlies own the league's No. 5-rated mark, allowing 92.4 points per game when playing on the road. Denver, on the other hand, rates No. 7 in scoring on their home court.
Last time out for Memphis, they were an 82-80 loser as they battled the Suns on the road. The Grizzlies failed to cover in the match as a 6.5-point favorite, while 162 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Memphis got 21 points and 11 rebounds from Rudy Gay in a losing cause in an 82-80 loss to Phoenix on Wednesday at US Airways Center.
In their last action, Denver was a 108-105 loser on the road against the Timberwolves. They covered the 4-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (213) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Kenneth Faried scored 26 points and added 14 rebounds for a double-double, but his team still lost 108-105 against Minnesota in NBA action at Target Center.
Memphis Grizzlies Trends:
When playing on Friday are 7-3
Before playing Utah are 6-4
After playing Phoenix are 6-4
After a loss are 8-2
Denver Nuggets Trends:
When playing on Friday are 8-2
Before playing Sacramento are 8-2
After playing Minnesota are 5-5
After a loss are 5-5
A few Grizzlies at Nuggets trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Memphis is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games
Memphis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Denver is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Memphis
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
Memphis at Utah, Saturday, December 15
Denver at Sacramento, Sunday, December 16