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NBA Betting: Heat vs. Spurs

Miami will look to improve on its 45-21 record on Monday when they host San Antonio in NBA odds action at AmericanAirlines Arena.

Miami battles the Spurs, currently with a 54-12 mark (37-27-2 ATS). The OVER/UNDER records, important for totals bettors, are 35-30-1 for the Heat and 35-31 for the Spurs.

View San Antonio vs Miami Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The Heat are listed as 4-point favorites at most sportsbooks tracked by Odds Shark, with the total listed at 199.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Heat - Spurs odds would favor the Heat if the lines were set according to power ranks. Miami is rated No. 3 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Spurs sit at No. 5. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 108-106 win for the Heat.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Miami's No. 8-ranked offense (101.6 PPG) against a Spurs defense that ranks No. 12 at 97 PPG. The Heat have averaged 47.7% from the field per game, more than the Spurs have managed so far this season (47.5% on average).

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Spurs own the league's No. 12-rated mark, allowing 98.6 points per game when on the road. Miami, on the other hand, rates No. 10 in home scoring.

The Spurs were a 115-107 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Rockets. They covered the 1–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (222) made winners of OVER bettors. The Spurs grabbed a 115-107 win over the Rockets on Saturday, behind a 21-point effort from Tony Parker at Toyota Center.

Miami won its last outing, a 118-85 result against the Grizzlies on March 12. The Heat covered in that game as a 7.5-point favorite, while the 203 combined points took the game OVER the total. Miami cruised to victory on Saturday, running Memphis out of the gym and running up a 118-85 score at AmericanAirlines Arena.

San Antonio Spurs Trends:
When playing on Monday are 8-2
Before playing Dallas are 7-3
After playing Houston are 6-4
After a win are 6-4

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Oklahoma City are 6-4
After playing Memphis are 2-8
After a win are 7-3


A few Spurs at Heat trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of San Antonio's last 14 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Antonio's last 8 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Miami's last 14 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing San Antonio
Miami is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games at home

Next up:
San Antonio at Dallas, Friday, March 18
Miami home to Oklahoma City, Wednesday, March 16

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