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NBA Finals Betting: Heat vs. Mavericks

The Miami Heat can put the pressure on a knock the Dallas Mavericks into a 3-1 hole tonight if they can record a win in Game 4 of the NBA Finals.

The Heat won Game 3 88-86 as a 2-point road underdog. Dwyane Wade led the Heat with 29 points and 11 rebounds, while Dirk Nowitzki had 34 points and 11 boards.

View Miami vs Dallas Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The Heat are listed as 2.5-point underdogs at many online sportsbooks, with the total listed at 186.5.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Mavericks at No. 6 and the Heat at No. 3 heading into this contest. Handicapping models run by the computers at Odds Shark project a 106-102 result in favor of the Heat.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Dallas's No. 11-ranked offense (100.2 PPG) against a Heat defense that ranks No. 6 at 94.6 PPG. The Mavericks have averaged 47.5% from the field per game, less than the Heat have managed so far this season (48.1% on average).

Defensively, the Heat feature the league's No. 3-rated defense on the road, allowing 95.2 points per game. Dallas, meanwhile, comes in at No. 13 in the league in scoring at home.

In their last action, Miami was an 88-86 winner on the road against the Mavericks. They covered the 2–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (174) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Dallas was victimized for 29 points and 11 rebounds by Dwyane Wade as the Heat defeated the Mavericks 88-86 in NBA action on Sunday.

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 3-7
Before playing Dallas are 6-4
After playing Dallas are 6-4
After a win are 7-3

Dallas Mavericks Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 9-1
Before playing Miami are 9-1
After playing Miami are 7-3
After a loss are 6-4


A few Heat at Mavericks trends to consider:
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Miami
Dallas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Miami
Dallas is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Dallas is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games

Next up:
Miami at Dallas, Thursday, June 9
Dallas home to Miami, Thursday, June 9

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