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Pointspread favors Nuggets in battle with Hawks

Atlanta HawksDenver Nuggets
March 4, 9:00 PM | Pepsi Center

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Odds

33-25TEAM RECORD38-22

The Hawks will look to pick up a win while covering the spread when they take on the Nuggets in Denver at Pepsi Center on Monday in NBA action.

This season the Nuggets are 38-22 overall and 35-25 ATS against the number, while the Hawks are 33-25 and 27-29-2 ATS. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). As for the totals, Denver is 37-23 on the OU, and Atlanta is 29-28-1.

View Atlanta vs Denver Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Denver opened as 9-point favorites at online sportsbook BetOnline, while the NBA total was sitting around 213.5 at Sportsbook.ag for those who prefer OVER/UNDER betting.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game pits the Nuggets, currently No. 5 in the Odds Shark NBA Power Rankings, against the Hawks, who rate No. 19 in the most recent survey. Meanwhile, math and computer handicapping models run on this game predict a 104-101 victory for the Nuggets.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Denver's No. 3-ranked offense, averaging 105.5 PPG, against a Hawks defense that ranks No. 12 at 96.6 PPG. The Nuggets field goal percentage has averaged 47.4% so far, more than the Hawks shooters have achieved on the year, 46.3% per game.

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Hawks own the league's No. 8-rated mark, allowing 95.4 points per game when playing on the road. Denver, on the other hand, rates No. 3 in scoring on their home court.

Last time out for Atlanta, they were a 99-98 loser as they battled the Lakers on the road. The Hawks covered in the match as a 5.5-point underdog, while 197 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. The Hawks got 24 points from Al Horford, but it was Los Angeles that prevailed in a 99-98 final on Sunday at STAPLES Center.

The Nuggets were a 105-103 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Thunder. They covered the 1.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (208) made winners of UNDER bettors. Wilson Chandler poured in 35 points for Denver on Friday, as they defeated Oklahoma City 105-103 at Pepsi Center.

Atlanta Hawks Trends:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Philadelphia are 7-3
After playing LA Lakers are 3-7
After a loss are 6-4

Denver Nuggets Trends:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Sacramento are 9-1
After playing Oklahoma City are 6-4
After a win are 8-2

A few Hawks at Nuggets trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing Denver
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Denver's last 13 games at home
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Next up:
Atlanta home to Philadelphia, Wednesday, March 6
Denver at Sacramento, Tuesday, March 5