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Raptors vs Heat Preview

Miami HeatToronto Raptors
Feb 3, 2:00 PM | Air Canada Centre

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Odds

29-14TEAM RECORD17-30

The Raptors will try to cover the spread at Air Canada Centre on Sunday when they get a visit from the Heat in basketball action.

This season the Raptors are 17-30 overall and 25-21-1 ATS against the number, while the Heat are 29-14 and 21-22 ATS. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). As for the totals, Toronto is 24-23 on the OU, and Miami is 21-22.

View Miami vs Toronto Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Bettors looking to side with the Raptors in this one found them as 5-point underdogs earlier at Bovada, while the total had been sitting in the area of 196.5 at Bovada.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Raptors - Heat odds would favor the Heat if the lines were set according to power ranks. Toronto is rated No. 24 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Heat sit at No. 11. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 105-98 win for the Heat.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Toronto's No. 12-ranked offense (97.8 PPG) against a Heat defense that ranks No. 13 at 96.8 PPG. The Raptors have averaged 44.4% from the field per game, less than the Heat have managed so far this season (48.9% on average).

Defensively, the Heat feature the league's No. 11-rated defense on the road, giving up 97.5 points per game. Toronto, meanwhile, comes in at No. 15 in the league in scoring at home.

The Heat were a 102-89 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Pacers. They failed to cover the 2-point spread as favorites, while the total score (191) made winners of OVER bettors. LeBron James went off for 28 points and added 6 rebounds but it wasn't enough as Indiana defeated Miami, 102-89 at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.

Last time out for Toronto, they were a 98-73 winner as they battled the Clippers at home. The Raptors covered in the match as a 4-point underdog, while 171 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Toronto cruised to victory on Friday, running Los Angeles out of the gym and running up a 98-73 score at Air Canada Centre.

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 8-2
Before playing Charlotte are 7-3
After playing Indiana are 6-4
After a loss are 7-3

Toronto Raptors Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 7-3
Before playing Boston are 4-6
After playing LA Clippers are 5-5
After a win are 5-5

A few Heat at Raptors trends to consider:
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 15 games when playing Miami

Next up:
Miami home to Charlotte, Monday, February 4
Toronto home to Boston, Wednesday, February 6