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Rockets vs Heat: NBA wagering preview

After covering as a home underdog against the Miami Heat earlier in the season the Houston Rockets will get another shot at LeBron James and company down in South Florida on Wednesday night.

The Heat beat the Rockets 113-110 but didn't manage to cover the spread as 6-point road favorites in the last meeting between the two teams back on November 12. Miami is riding a 6-0 SU (4-2 ATS) winning streak against Houston dating back to January 2010.

Miami will face the 27-23 Rockets, who own a 26-23-1 ATS mark on the season. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). In totals betting, the Heat are 21-24 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Rockets are 27-23 favoring the OVER.

View Houston vs Miami Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Oddsmakers at 5Dimes opened the Heat as 8-point favorites in this matchup earlier today, while the OVER/UNDER line was sitting around 206.5 earlier at GTbets.eu.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Heat sit at No. 10 in the current NBA Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the Rockets are at No. 9 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Heat will win this game 108-105.

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How They Match Up:
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Rockets rank No. 10 in the league with 43.2 per game. That compares with Miami’s No. 30 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Miami is the NBA’s No. 7-ranked team at 8 per game, while the Rockets rate No. 2 with 10.3 per contest.

Defensively, the Rockets feature the league's No. 21-rated defense on the road, giving up 101.8 points per game. Miami, meanwhile, comes in at No. 4 in the league in scoring at home.

Houston was a 140-109 winner in its last match at home against the Warriors. They covered the 2.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 249 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. Houston cruised to victory on Tuesday, running Golden State out of the gym and running up a 140-109 score at Toyota Center.

Miami won its last outing, a 99-94 result against the Bobcats on February 4. The Heat failed to cover in that game as a 14-point favorite, while the 193 combined points took the game UNDER the total. The Heat got a 31-point performance from LeBron James as Miami handed Charlotte a 99-94 defeat on Monday at AmericanAirlines Arena.

Houston Rockets Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
Before playing Portland are 8-2
After playing Golden State are 3-7
After a win are 7-3

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing LA Clippers are 5-5
After playing Charlotte are 7-3
After a win are 5-5

 

A few Rockets at Heat trends to consider:
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Miami is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

Next up:
Houston home to Portland, Friday, February 8
Miami home to LA Clippers, Friday, February 8