The visiting Spurs will be resting and the Phoenix Suns will be playing out the string - what do those facts do to the NBA point spread?
It makes the top-seeded Spurs a small favorite against the Suns, who were just eliminated from the playoffs this week. San Antonio is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road and the total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing at home against San Antonio.
But those trends could go out in the window given the situation.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Suns sit at No. 20 in the current NBA Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the Spurs are at No. 5 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Spurs will win this game 106-99.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Phoenix's No. 9-ranked offense (98.2 PPG) against a Spurs defense that ranks No. 16 at 96.3 PPG. The Suns have averaged 45.8% from the field per game, less than the Spurs have managed so far this season (47.9% on average).
Defensively, the Spurs feature the league's No. 19-rated defense on the road, allowing 98.9 points per game. Phoenix, meanwhile, comes in at No. 9 in the league in scoring at home.
San Antonio was a 124-89 winner in its last match at home against the Trail Blazers. They covered the 15.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 213 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. The battle between the Spurs and Trail Blazers didn’t turn out to be much of a battle at all as Portland was handed a 124-89 defeat on Monday at AT&T Center.
Phoenix lost its last outing, a 100-88 result against the Jazz on April 24. The Suns failed to cover in that game as a 5-point underdog, while the 188 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Jared Dudley scored 15 points in a failed effort to lead the Suns to victory (they lost 100-88 to Utah at EnergySolutions Arena on Tuesday).
San Antonio Spurs Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
Before playing Golden State are 6-4
After playing Portland are 8-2
After a win are 9-1
Phoenix Suns Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3
After playing Utah are 3-7
After a loss are 7-3
A few Spurs at Suns trends to consider:
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games
San Antonio is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 8 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Phoenix is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Phoenix's last 14 games when playing San Antonio
Phoenix is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio
San Antonio at Golden State, Thursday, April 26