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Three Reasons Why the Warriors Will Win

The Golden State Warriors are looking to claim the Larry O’Brien Trophy for a second consecutive season and will need to conquer a familiar foe to do so. The Warriors and Cavs meet in the NBA Finals for the second straight year and though the Warriors struggled in the Western Conference Finals, they should be covered in confetti once again.

Here are three reasons why the Golden State Warriors will win the NBA Championship.

Been There, Done That

The Warriors handily beat the Cavaliers in the NBA Finals last season – Golden State had an average scoring margin of +14 points in the last three games of that series. Yes, the Cavs were without both Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love in that series, but they weren’t when these two teams met this season.

The Warriors went 2-0 against the Cavs during the regular season in two widely different games. The first game was a low-scoring affair that the Warriors won 89-83 despite shooting just 27.8 percent from beyond the arc. The second clash was a beatdown that saw the Warriors win 132-98 while shooting 47.5 percent from three.

Yes the Cavs’ roster is healthier this season - and yes they have been shooting much better this season than last, but it hasn’t made much of a difference during the regular season.

Who Is Going To Guard Steph?

Let’s face it – you’re not going to shut down Steph Curry. The best you can do is to contain him. Since returning from a knee injury Curry has averaged 29.3 points per game while shooting 45.8 percent from the floor and 44.7 percent from beyond the arc.

Kyrie Irving’s defense has always been under the microscope in BelieveLand. And though some of those issues have been a tad exaggerated, he has struggled when matched up against Curry this season. Kyrie had a -31 point differential this season when facing off against Curry while allowing the reigning MVP to shoot 54.5 percent from the floor.

There is no doubt that Curry is going to go off a few times a series, but the Cavs don’t appear to have anyone that can limit the damage.

Top Offenses Don’t Lose Finals

Since 2000 there have been five teams to make the NBA Finals after finishing the regular season within the top three in scoring. Those five teams are a combined 17-8 SU in the Finals with four of them ultimately winning it all.

One of those five offensive juggernauts was the Warriors last season. Golden State averaged 110.0 points during the regular season and 103.3 points per game during their postseason run last year. This season's Warriors absolutely dwarf those numbers. Golden State averaged 114.9 ppg during the regular season and 110.9 ppg during the playoffs this season.

Is a top-rated offense a perfect recipe for an NBA Finals victory? No – thanks to the 2004 Los Angeles Lakers – but if there is one regular season statistic that seems to hold true in the Finals it’s this one.

Stephen Campbell and I disagree on who will win the NBA Finals. You can read his three reasons why the Cavaliers will win the title here. Whose side are you on?

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