The Oklahoma City Thunder can advance to the NBA Finals on Wednesday night with another win over the San Antonio Spurs in Game 6 of the Western Conference Finals at home.
The Thunder are home favorites on the NBA lines at the sportsbooks for Wednesday after beating the Spurs 108-103 in San Antonio in Game 5 on Monday. That gave Oklahoma City a 3-2 lead in the series and puts the Spurs, winners of 20 straight just last week, needing a road win to stay alive.
Oklahoma City will face the 50-16 Spurs, who own a 42-20-4 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Thunder are 31-35 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Spurs are 39-26-1 favoring the OVER.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 2 (Thunder) and the No. 3 (Spurs) teams in the league, according to our current NBA Power Rankings at Odds Shark. A 107-106 result in favor of the Spurs is predicted by handicapping models.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Oklahoma City's No. 3-ranked offense (103.1 PPG) against a Spurs defense that ranks No. 16 at 96.5 PPG. The Thunder have averaged 47.1% from the field per game, less than the Spurs have managed so far this season (47.8% on average).
Defensively, the Spurs feature the league's No. 19-rated defense on the road, allowing 99.2 points per game. Oklahoma City, meanwhile, comes in at No. 1 in the league in scoring at home.
Last time out for Oklahoma City, they were a 108-103 winner as they battled the Spurs on the road. The Thunder covered in the match as a 5-point underdog, while 211 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. San Antonio was scorched by Kevin Durant for 27 points as the Thunder defated the Spurs 108-103 in NBA action on Monday.
San Antonio Spurs Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 8-2
Before playing Oklahoma City are 7-3
After playing Oklahoma City are 4-6
After a loss are 7-3
Oklahoma City Thunder Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
Before playing San Antonio are 8-2
After playing San Antonio are 7-3
After a win are 8-2
A few Spurs at Thunder trends to consider:
San Antonio is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games
San Antonio is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Oklahoma City is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio home to Oklahoma City, Friday, June 8
Oklahoma City at San Antonio, Friday, June 8