ACC Conference Final Odds - Duke Battles Georgia Tech

How crazy has the 2010 ACC men’s basketball Tournament been? We came within an eyelash of witnessing the bottom two seeds play in Sunday’s final. But in the end, it’s the No. 1 Duke Blue Devils (28-5 SU, 18-12-2 ATS) versus the No. 7 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (21-11 SU, 15-10-1 ATS) at the Greensboro Coliseum in North Carolina. The Blue Devils had all they could handle Saturday against the No. 12 Miami Hurricanes, and while they made a strong second-half push to prevail 77-74, it was the ‘Canes cashing in as 11.5-point puppies. Duke is 0-2 ATS at this tournament and 2-4-2 ATS over the past month.


Georgia Tech came out of the bottom half of the bracket with big wins over the North Carolina Tar Heels (+3.5) and the Maryland Terrapins (-4), but the Yellow Jackets struggled to put away the No. 11 North Carolina State Wolfpack (+4) on Saturday before winning 57-54. The Jackets must not be overlooked in this situation. They already own a victory over Duke this year, dropping the Blue Devils 71-67 as 7-point home dogs back on January 9. Duke (-13) would return the favor one month later in an 86-67 blowout at Cameron Indoor Stadium. That spanking started a 3-6 SU and 2-6-1 ATS slide for the Jackets to end the regular season. But if you look at Georgia Tech’s numbers for the full season, they reveal a very strong defensive club limiting the opposition to a 44-percent effective field-goal rate. That’s No. 16 in Division I. All three of the Jackets’ ACC tourney games have gone UNDER. Very nice, but Duke is even more dominant on defense. They’re seventh in the nation in effective field-goal percentage allowed at 43.4 percent, and first against the 3-pointer at 27.0 percent. The UNDER is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

The Blue Devils also have the top-ranked offense in college basketball, and they’re one of the few teams in the country that can stack up inside against 6-foot-10 freshman sensation Derrick Favors. He scored just 15 points combined in his two previous games versus Duke. It should take more than that to stop the Devils on Sunday (1:00 p.m. ET, ESPN). Looking ahead to March Madness, both teams can punch their tickets regardless of Sunday’s outcome. But a win by Duke would sew up a No. 1 seed; Georgia Tech, meanwhile, is destined for the bottom half of the bracket win or lose. The Jackets could make some noise in the early rounds if they draw a mid-major opponent or two.

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