Kentucky vs Baylor: South Region Pick
The Kentucky Wildcats have been in four Elite 8's since 2001 and covered the spread just once.
Their foe Sunday on the South Regional odds menu is Baylor the bracket's third seed.
Regardless, John Calipari's coaching pedigree and KU's depth has the Wildcats opening as 7-point favorites on the Kentucky Baylor point spread at TopBet today.
One total betting trend appears in this game relative to the spread. When Kenucky is favored by 8 or less points, the UNDER has prevailed in 8 straight games. That's eight straight for the Elite Eight.
The Wildcats are 35-2 so far on the season, and 15-21 ATS vs. the number. The Bears, meanwhile, are 30-7 and 14-15-1 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen Kentucky go 15-18-2 and the Bears go 17-13 on the totals.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to new college basketball power rankings here, it's the No. 2-ranked Wildcats and the No. 12-rated Bears in this matchup. Computer formulas aimed at predicting NCAAB scores point to a 87-79 win for the Wildcats on Sunday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Kentucky's No. 15 nationally ranked offense (77.8 points per game) against a Bears defense that sits as the No. 106 at 64.9 PPG. The Wildcats have been averaging 48.7% from the field, more than the Bears have managed so far this season (47% on average).
Defensively, Baylor features the nation's No. 197-rated defense on the road, allowing 70.7 points per game. Kentucky, meanwhile, comes in at No. 23 nationally in scoring at home.
In their last action, Baylor was a 75-70 winner at home against Xavier. They failed to cover the 6.5-point spread as favorites. The Bears got a 20-point performance from Quincy Acy, who added 15 rebounds, as Baylor ran past Xavier 75-70 on Friday at Georgia Dome.
Kentucky was a 102-90 winner in their most recent outing at home against Indiana. They covered the 9.5-point spread as favorites. Michael Kidd-Gilchrist scored 24 points and helped out with 10 rebounds for Kentucky on Friday, leading the Wildcats to a 102-90 victory over Indiana at Georgia Dome.