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Bobcats open as college hoops underdog vs Longhorns

Texas State BobcatsTexas Longhorns
Dec 15, 8:00 PM | Frank Erwin Center

Texas State Bobcats vs Texas Longhorns Odds

4-5TEAM RECORD5-4

College hoops betting interest focuses on the Texas vs Texas State battle Saturday at Frank Erwin Center as the Longhorns look to defend home court and cover the NCAA basketball point spread.

The Longhorns bring a 5-4 record (3-4 ATS) to this tilt against the 4-5 Bobcats, who are 2-4 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have witnessed Texas go 1-6 so far and the Bobcats go 2-1.

View Texas State vs Texas Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks (including Bovada) had the Longhorns installed as 16-point favorites in this particular matchup earlier in the day. Also, watch for the opening over-under value at TopBet.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Longhorns - Bobcats odds would favor the Longhorns if the lines were set according to our power ranks. Texas is rated No. 93 in the current Odds Shark poll, while Texas State is at No. 231. Mathematical models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 71-69 win for the Longhorns.

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How They Match Up:
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Bobcats rank No. 138 in NCAA Division 1 with 36.3 per game. That compares with Texas’s No. 36 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Texas is college basketball's No. 259-ranked team at 5.1 per game, while the Bobcats rate No. 137 with 6.6 per game.

Defensively, Texas State features the nation's No. 1-rated defense on the road, allowing 0 points per game. Texas, meanwhile, comes in at No. 276 nationally in scoring at home.

Texas State won its last outing, a 73-58 result against Texas-Pan American on December 8. The Bobcats got 21 points from Matt Staff as Texas State ran past Texas-Pan American 73-58 on Saturday at Strahan Coliseum.

Texas was a 65-63 loser in its last match at home against UCLA. They covered the 5.5-point spread as underdogs. Cameron Ridley scored 14 points in a futile effort to lead the Longhorns to a win (they lost 65-63 to UCLA at Reliant Stadium on Saturday).

Texas State Bobcats Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 6-4
After playing Texas-Pan American are 3-7
After a win are 4-6

Texas Longhorns Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 10-0
Before playing North Carolina are 5-0
After playing UCLA are 3-0
After a loss are 5-5

A few Bobcats at Longhorns trends to consider:
Texas State is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Texas State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas State
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas State
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Next up:
Texas State at Northwestern, Monday, December 17
Texas home to North Carolina, Wednesday, December 19