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Indiana has Plenty to Prove in Big Dance

Yogi Ferrell Indiana Hoosiers NCAA March Madness

The Indiana Hoosiers, the five seed in the East Region, were the best team in the Big Ten during the regular season but lost in the quarterfinal of the conference tournament thanks to a buzzer-beating 3-pointer from Kameron Chatman of the Michigan Wolverines. The Hoosiers will need to put that behind them and focus on the Chattanooga Mocs in their opening round matchup Thursday.

Shark Bites
  • Indiana is 4-0 ATS in its last four games after a loss.
  • Chattanooga is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games versus the Big Ten.
  • Indiana is 3-8 in its last 11 games in March.

The Hoosiers, currently 11-point favorites, finished conference play 15-3 SU but were unreliable at the betting window going just 10-8 ATS in those games. Furthermore, for Hoosiers backers at least, Indiana has not been the best spread wager in March Madness games entering the 2016 edition of the tournament. The Hoosiers have gone 1-4-1 ATS in their last six tournament games, though the one cover came last year in an 81-76 loss to Wichita State as 6.5-point pups. The Hoosiers are paced by senior guard Yogi Ferrell who averaged 17.0 points, 3.9 boards and 5.5 assists per game.

The Mocs won the Southern Conference to earn its first trip to the Big Dance since 2009. They head into the tournament with a 29-5 SU record but fizzled ATS down the stretch, failing to cover the number in five of their final six games. Being a double-digit dog is not new to Chattanooga. They have been in that spot three times this year and have won outright in two of those (at Georgia, at Dayton).

The Mocs feature a balanced attack and are led by junior forward Tre’ McLean’s 12.3 points per game. The winner here probably moves on to face Kentucky in the next round.

Should it be an Indiana-Kentucky matchup, it will mean a battle of two teams that got shafted by the selection committee with their low seeds. Considering how Chattanooga has treated lofty faves this season, however, Indiana would be remiss if it looked ahead.

Click here for a history of the No. 5 vs. No. 12 matchup.

Chattanooga Moccasins vs Indiana Hoosiers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Indiana Hoosiers sit at 25-7 (17-15 ATS) on the college basketball season. By comparison, the Chattanooga Moccasins are currently 29-5 (17-13 ATS). Looking to bet on the total points scored? Indiana is 15-17 OU, and Chattanooga is 15-15 OU.

This game puts the Indiana Hoosiers, most recently No. 15 in the Odds Shark power rankings, up against the Chattanooga Moccasins, who rate No. 34 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

Rating these schools in several key categories is important for handicappers and Indiana has the nation's No. 10-rated offensive output, at 82.28 PPG. The visiting Chattanooga Moccasins defense ranks No. 46 allowing on average 66.62 PPG. The Hoosiers FG% has averaged 50.11% so far, more than the Indiana Moccasins marksmen have achieved on the year, 45.64% per game.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Moccasins grabbed a 73-67 win over the Buccaneers on Monday, behind a 13-point effort from Tre' McLean at U.S. Cellular Center.

The Hoosiers endured a 72-69 loss at the hands of the Wolverines on Friday, despite a 16-point effort from Troy Williams at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.

Betting Trends
  • Chattanooga is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Chattanooga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chattanooga's last 7 games
  • Indiana is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games

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