College baskeball point spread favors Gaels in battle with Mustangs
Cal Poly Mustangs vs St. Mary's Gaels Odds
St. Mary's looks to cover the Gaels-Mustangs pointspread on Saturday and improve its overall 4-2 mark when they host Cal Poly in college basketball wagering action.
St. Mary's battles the Mustangs, currently sitting with a 2-2 mark (2-2 ATS). The OVER/UNDER records, always important for totals bettors, are 2-1 for the Gaels and 0-1 for the Mustangs.
If you were backing the visitors in this one, the Mustangs were listed as 15-point underdogs earlier in the day at Bovada.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game puts the Gaels, most recently No. 195 in the Odds Shark power rankings, up against the Mustangs, who rate No. 239 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and computer-based handicapping simulations run on this game predict a potential 74-65 victory for the Gaels.
How They Match Up:
Scoring and defensive stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features St. Mary's's No. 85-ranked scoring average of 74.2 PPG, against a Mustangs defense rated No. 105 and allowing 62.5 PPG. The Gaels FG% has averaged 47.7% to date this season, more than the Mustangs shooters have managed so far (39.9% per game).
Defensively, Cal Poly features the nation's No. 59-rated defense on the road, allowing 60.5 points per game. St. Mary's, meanwhile, comes in at No. 78 nationally in scoring at home.
Cal Poly was a 70-68 winner in their most recent outing on the road against UCLA. They covered the 19-point spread as underdogs. Cal Poly got 18 points from Dylan Royer en route to a 70-68 victory over UCLA on Sunday at Pauley Pavilion.
In their last action, St. Mary's was a 65-56 loser on the road against Georgia Tech. They failed to cover the 5-point spread as favorites. St. Mary's got 10 points from Stephen Holt but lost anyway, 65-56, to Georgia Tech on Sunday at Anaheim Convention Center.
Cal Poly Mustangs Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 7-3
Before playing Menlo College are 2-1
After playing UCLA are 0-1
After a win are 4-6
St. Mary's Gaels Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 5-5
Before playing Drake are 1-0
After a loss are 6-4
A few Mustangs at Gaels trends to consider:
Cal Poly is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cal Poly is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
St. Mary's is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
St. Mary's is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
St. Mary's is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cal Poly
Cal Poly home to Menlo College, Saturday, December 8
St. Mary's at Drake, Wednesday, December 5