Indiana vs Michigan State Pick
There'll be a Big Ten battle on the hardwood at Assembly Hall in Bloomington on Sunday afternoon as the Indiana Hoosiers look for an ATS victory at home over the Michigan State Spartans.
The Hoosiers had lost six games in a row against the Spartans before beating them 70-55 as a 2.5-point home underdog in their last meeting last February. That improved Indiana to 1-4 SU and 3-2 ATS over the past five games between the two schools.
The Hoosiers are 17-2 so far on the season, and 9-8 ATS vs. the number. The Spartans, meanwhile, are 17-3 and 7-10 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen Indiana go 6-8-1 and the Spartans go 7-9 on the totals.
On the opening NCAA basketball line for this matchup, Indiana sat as 10-point favorites over at 5Dimes. Also, check out the current total, which often goes up first at online sportsbook BetOnline.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Hoosiers sit at No. 2 in the current college hoops power poll here at Odds Shark, while the Spartans sit at No. 24 on the same chart. The computers running our scores simulations have concluded that the Hoosiers will win this game 91-79.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Indiana's No. 1-ranked offense, averaging 83.7 PPG, against a Spartans defense that ranks No. 17 at 57.8 PPG. The Hoosiers field goal percentage has averaged 50% so far, more than the Spartans marksmen have achieved on the year, 46.4% per game.
Defensively, Michigan State features the nation's No. 51-rated defense on the road, allowing 63 points per game. Indiana, meanwhile, comes in at No. 3 nationally in scoring at home.
Michigan State was a 49-47 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Wisconsin. They covered the 5-point spread as underdogs. The Spartans grabbed a 49-47 win over the Badgers on Tuesday, behind a 19-point effort from Keith Appling at Kohl Center.
Last time out for Indiana, they were a 72-49 winner as they battled Penn State at home. They failed to cover in the match as a 24-point favorite. The Hoosiers blew out Penn State on Wednesday, running up a 20+ point victory in a 72-49 win at Branch McCracken Court at Assembly Hall.
Michigan State Spartans Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 4-6
Before playing Illinois are 7-3
After playing Wisconsin are 9-1
After a win are 9-1
Indiana Hoosiers Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 8-2
Before playing Purdue are 4-6
After playing Penn State are 2-8
After a win are 8-2
A few Spartans at Hoosiers trends to consider:
Michigan State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Michigan State's last 14 games on the road
Michigan State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Indiana is 23-1 SU in its last 24 games at home
Indiana is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Michigan State
Michigan State home to Illinois, Thursday, January 31
Indiana at Purdue, Wednesday, January 30