Many bettors feel Kemba Walker gives UConn a slight edge over San Diego State regardless of the rest of the players and regardless of the point spread.
But the spread reflects the close nature of this West Region Sweet 16 battle with the MWC champion Aztecs Sportsbook as 1-point favorites behind their big front court, but the betting swung to UConn. It's the 2-seed Aztecs vs the 3-seed Huskies in this one with the Sportsbook facing Duke or Arizona.
San Diego State needed two OTs to beat Temple, while UConn cruised through the first round barely breaking a sweat.
View Connecticut vs San Diego State Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
Sportsbooks had the Aztecs installed as 1-point favorites in this particular matchup. The best OVER line was 129.5 at Sportsbook as of Monday (watch for line moves).
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Aztecs rated this week at No. 6 and the Huskies sitting at No. 13. It may or may not play a role in Odds Shark score prediction modelling that produced a 81-75 result in favor of the Aztecs.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits San Diego State's No. 82-ranked offense, averaging 72 PPG, against a Huskies defense that ranks No. 105 at 65.8 PPG. The Aztecs field goal percentage has averaged 46.4% so far, more than the Huskies marksmen have achieved on the year, 43.4% per game.
Defensively, Connecticut features the nation's No. 141-rated defense on the road, allowing 69.5 points per game. San Diego State, meanwhile, comes in at No. 151 nationally in scoring at home.
In their last action, Connecticut was a 69-58 Sportsbook against Cincinnati. They covered the 3.5–point spread as favorites.
Last time out for San Diego State, they were a 71-64 Sportsbook as they battled Temple. They covered in the match as a 5.5-point favorite.
Connecticut Huskies Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 7-3
After playing Cincinnati are 5-2
After a win are 7-3
San Diego State Aztecs Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 4-6
After a win are 9-1
A few Huskies at Aztecs trends to consider:
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 6 games
