A Top 25 battle in the ACC pits the Virginia Cavaliers against the visiting Florida State on Thursday at John Paul Jones Arena.
Two things almost always happen when these teams meet - it's always an UNDER bet (9-1 past 10 games) and the Seminoles always win (9-1 SU past 10).
But No. 24 Virginia, the second best defensive team in the country, needs this against No. 22 FSU.
The Cavaliers sit at 21-7 (14-8-1 ATS) on the season. By comparison, the Seminoles are currently 19-9 (13-13 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Virginia is 4-19 OU, and Florida State is 13-12-1 OU.
View Florida State vs Virginia Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
The Cavaliers were listed as 5-point favorites at most sportsbooks tracked by Odds Shark. The line and total has each moved earlier Thursday at Sportsbook.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Cavaliers at No. 87 and the Seminoles at No. 9 heading into this contest. Handicapping models at Odds Shark project a 72-69 result in favor of the Cavaliers.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Virginia's No. 282-ranked offense, averaging 62.7 PPG, against a Seminoles defense that ranks No. 53 at 61.9 PPG. The Cavaliers field goal percentage has averaged 46.1% so far, more than the Seminoles marksmen have achieved on the year, 45.1% per game.
Defensively, Florida State features the nation's No. 159-rated defense on the road, allowing 69.2 points per game. Virginia, meanwhile, comes in at No. 301 nationally in scoring at home.
In their last action, Florida State was a 78-62 loser on the road against Miami. They failed to cover the 1-point spread as underdogs. Florida State got 20 points from Michael Snaer but lost anyway, 78-62, to Miami on Sunday at BankUnited Center.
Last time out for Virginia, they were a 54-51 loser as they battled North Carolina at home. They covered in the match as a 4-point underdog. Virginia got 13 points from Jontel Evans but lost anyway, 54-51, to North Carolina on Saturday at John Paul Jones Arena.
Florida State Seminoles Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 9-1
Before playing Clemson are 8-2
After playing Miami are 6-4
After a loss are 6-4
Virginia Cavaliers Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 4-6
Before playing Maryland are 3-7
After playing North Carolina are 3-7
After a loss are 7-3
A few Seminoles at Cavaliers trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Virginia
Florida State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Florida State is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games when playing Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Virginia's last 7 games
Virginia is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida State
Next up:
Florida State home to Clemson, Sunday, March 4
Virginia at Maryland, Sunday, March 4
