No. 3 Marquette is the favorite for their NCAA Tournament betting matchup against No. 14 Davidson on Thursday, and the Golden Eagles have gone 12-1 SU the past 13 times they sat as favorites on the board at the sportsbooks.
Marquette, though, is just 3-6 ATS in their past nine opening games at the NCAA Tournament, giving bettors a reason to doubt them on Thursday. Davidson, riding a 17-game winning streak into the NCAA Tournament this week, is 6-2 ATS in its past eight games in March Madness.
Marquette will face the 26-7 Wildcats, who own a 16-15-1 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Golden Eagles are 15-12 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Wildcats are 11-19-1 favoring the OVER.
Sportsbooks such as 5Dimes had set the Golden Eagles as 4-point favorites on the opening line for this contest, but it moved down to -3. The total was sitting at 133 at TopBet as of Wednesday.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to new college basketball power rankings here, it's the No. 34-ranked Golden Eagles and the No. 51-rated Wildcats in this matchup. Computer formulas aimed at predicting NCAAB scores point to a 78-73 win for the Wildcats on Thursday.
How They Match Up:
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Wildcats rank No. 213 in NCAA Division 1 with 33.8 per game. That compares with Marquette’s No. 164 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Marquette is college basketball's No. 331-ranked team at 4.3 per game, while the Wildcats rate No. 49 with 7.6 per game.
Defensively, Davidson features the nation's No. 115-rated defense on the road, allowing 66.9 points per game. Marquette, meanwhile, comes in at No. 113 nationally in scoring at home.
In their last action, Davidson was a 74-55 winner at home against College of Charleston. They covered the 8-point spread as favorites. The Wildcats got 24 points from De'Mon Brooks as Davidson ran past College of Charleston 74-55 on Monday at US Cellular Center.
In their last action, Marquette was a 73-65 loser at home against Notre Dame. They failed to cover the 3-point spread as favorites. The Golden Eagles endured a 73-65 loss at the hands of the Fighting Irish on Thursday, despite a 16-point effort from Jamil Wilson at Madison Square Garden.
Davidson Wildcats Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 8-2
After playing College of Charleston are 9-1
After a win are 10-0
Marquette Golden Eagles Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 9-1
After playing Notre Dame are 6-4
After a loss are 10-0
A few Wildcats at Golden Eagles trends to consider:
Marquette is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marquette's last 5 games
Marquette is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games