Louisville Wich State Betting Pick

The underdog Wichita State Shockers will be looking for another NCAA Tournament upset on Saturday as they take on Louisville at the Georgia Dome in a Final Four odds matchup at the sportsbooks.

And they have been very tough as a big dog, going 12-4 ATS in 16 games as a dog of 8.5 points or more since 2003.

Wichita State continued their run in the Elite Eight over the weekend, paying off for their supporters against Ohio State with a 70-66 victory. Top overall seed Louisville, meanwhile, easily covered a 4-point spread in a 85-63 win against Duke last game.

And Louisville has been dominant as a favorite, rolling up a 9-1 ATS record in their past 10 games in this situation. Final Four trends also point to the Cardinals winning here as higher seeds; they are 12-1 SU since 2005 in games facing lower seeds.

The Shockers will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 20-14-1 ATS against the number this season, while the Cardinals are 23-14-1 ATS. Wichita State is 17-17 on the totals; Louisville is 19-16.

View Wichita State vs Louisville Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The Shockers were listed as 9.5-point underdogs at many online sportsbooks such as TopBet, but it climbed during the week. The total was 132 earlier at, watch for updates this week before tipoff.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game puts the Cardinals, most recently No. 1 in the Odds Shark power rankings, up against the Shockers, who rate No. 27 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and computer-based handicapping simulations run on this game predict a potential 82-75 victory for the Cardinals.


How They Match Up:
Scoring and defensive stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features Louisville's No. 31-ranked scoring average of 74.3 PPG, against a Shockers defense rated No. 42 and allowing 60.9 PPG. The Cardinals FG% has averaged 45.6% to date this season, more than the Shockers shooters have managed so far (44.1% per game).

Defensively, Wichita State features the nation's No. 66-rated defense on the road, allowing 64.8 points per game. Louisville, meanwhile, comes in at No. 59 nationally in scoring at home.

Wichita State was a 70-66 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Ohio State. They covered the 5-point spread as underdogs. Malcolm Armstead scored 14 points leading the Shockers to a 70-66 victory over Ohio State at Staples Center on Saturday.

Louisville was an 85-63 winner in their most recent outing at home against Duke. They covered the 4-point spread as favorites. Louisville cruised to victory on Sunday, running Duke out of the gym and running up an 85-63 score at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Wichita State Shockers Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 6-4
After a win are 8-2

Louisville Cardinals Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 7-3
After playing Duke are 1-0
After a win are 10-0


A few Shockers at Cardinals trends to consider:
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games