After improving to 11-0 in the Sweet 16, Rick Pitino's Louisville Cardinals move to the West Region final against Florida Saturday in college basketball wagering action.
But this is not a place where Louisville has been profitable for bettors. In three trips since 2001, the Cardinals are 0-3 ATS.
That contrasts with Florida, which has been a cover machine late in tournaments and is 9-2 ATS in its past 11 Madness games overall.
The Cards stomped Michigan State Thursday and Florida beat Marquette as a small underdog. The lower-seeded Gators (No. 7) are actually favored by a point at TopBet.
Louisville battles the Gators, currently sitting with a 26-10 mark (16-15 ATS). The OVER/UNDER records, always important for totals bettors, are 13-21-1 for the Cardinals and 18-13 for the Gators.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game puts the Cardinals, most recently No. 7 in the Odds Shark power rankings, up against the Gators, who rate No. 56 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and computer-based handicapping simulations run on this game predict a potential 79-75 victory for the Gators.
How They Match Up:
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Gators rank No. 104 in NCAA Division 1 with 35.8 per game. That compares with Louisville’s No. 27 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Louisville is college basketball's No. 200-ranked team at 5.9 per game, while the Gators rate No. 1 with 9.7 per game.
Comparing how these foes stack up statistically, Florida owns the country's No. 184-rated mark, allowing 70.2 points per game on the highway. Louisville, on the other hand, rates No. 194 in scoring at home.
In their last action, Florida was a 68-58 winner on the road against Marquette. They covered the 1-point spread as underdogs. Bradley Beal scored 21 points leading the Gators to a 68-58 victory over Marquette at US Airways Center on Thursday.
Louisville won its last outing, a 57-44 result against Michigan State on March 22. They covered in that game as a 5.5-point underdog. The Cardinals got 15 points from Chane Behanan as Louisville ran past Michigan State 57-44 on Thursday at US Airways Center.