Duke vs Miami: ACC betting pick
The Miami Hurricanes have already upset the Duke Blue Devils both SU and ATS this season as those ACC schools meet once again in marquee college basketball betting action on Saturday night.
Miami topped Duke 90-63 as a 3-point home underdog on the college hoops odds at the sportsbooks in the first meeting of the season between the ACC schools on January 23. Miami and Duke have played to OVER results for totals bettors in nine of their past 10 games.
The Blue Devils currently sports a 24-4 record overall in NCAAB action, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 15-13 ATS. The Hurricanes are 23-4 and 15-7-2 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Blue Devils produce a 15-13 OVER/UNDER record on the season, while the Hurricanes have gone 7-14-1 against the number.
The Hurricanes were listed as 5.5-point underdogs at many online sportsbooks, including Bovada. Check the over-under as well as a monster free bet bonus.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game puts the Blue Devils, most recently No. 18 in the Odds Shark power rankings, up against the Hurricanes, who rate No. 8 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and computer-based handicapping simulations run on this game predict a potential 81-78 victory for the Blue Devils.
How They Match Up:
Rating these schools in several key categories is important for handicappers and Duke has the nation's No. 8-rated offensive output, at 78.5 PPG. The visiting Hurricanes defense ranks No. 27 allowing on average 59.1 PPG. The Blue Devils FG% has averaged 47.4% so far, more than the Hurricanes marksmen have achieved on the year, 45.9% per game.
Defensively, Miami features the nation's No. 21-rated defense on the road, allowing 61.1 points per game. Duke, meanwhile, comes in at No. 25 nationally in scoring at home.
Miami was a 76-58 winner in its last match at home against Virginia Tech. They covered the 16.5-point spread as favorites. The Hurricanes grabbed a 76-58 win over the Hokies on Wednesday, behind a 22-point effort from Shane Larkin at BankUnited Center.
In their last action, Duke was a 73-68 loser on the road against Virginia. They failed to cover the 1-point spread as underdogs. Duke got 28 points from Seth Curry on the way to a 73-68 loss against Virginia on Thursday at John Paul Jones Arena.
Miami Hurricanes Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 5-5
Before playing Georgia Tech are 6-4
After playing Virginia Tech are 5-5
After a win are 9-1
Duke Blue Devils Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 9-1
Before playing Virginia Tech are 8-2
After playing Virginia are 6-4
After a loss are 9-1
A few Hurricanes at Blue Devils trends to consider:
Miami is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Duke
Miami is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Duke
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Duke's last 12 games when playing Miami
Duke is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Duke's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami home to Georgia Tech, Wednesday, March 6
Duke home to Virginia Tech, Tuesday, March 5