Baylor vs Wisconsin West Region Pick
The No. 6 Baylor Bears have already knocked off No. 3 Creighton in West Region action at the NCAA Tournament, and they'll now take on No. 2 Wisconsin in the Sweet 16 on Thursday night.
Baylor topped No. 11 Nebraska in their first game of March Madness last week before topping No. 3 Creighton over the weekend. The Badgers opened their NCAA Tournament by getting past No. 15 American and then No. 7 Oregon.
Baylor is 10-3-1 ATS past 14 games overall and Bears backers can take comfort in knowing that 6 seeds are 7-3 ATS past 10 vs 2 seeds. However, 2 seeds are 8-1 SU since 2002 vs 6 seeds.
Wisconsin 1-4 SU in its past five trips to Sweet 16 but 7-2 ATS in its past nine tournament games overall.
Odds Shark computer pick - 72.1-70.1 Badgers
The Bears will try to spoil to the party on Thursday; they are 15-15-1 ATS against the number this season, while the Badgers are 18-16-1 ATS. Baylor is 17-14 on the totals; Wisconsin is 20-15.
The Power Rankings at Odds Shark show No. 37-rated Baylor taking on the No. 34-rated Badgers in this contest.
Baylor was an 85-55 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Creighton. They covered the 3.5-point spread as underdogs. Baylor cruised to victory on Sunday, running Creighton out of the gym and running up an 85-55 score at AT&T Center.
Last time out for Wisconsin, they were an 85-77 winner as they battled Oregon at home. They covered in the match as a 6-point favorite. Frank Kaminsky scored 19 points leading the Badgers to an 85-77 victory over Oregon at BMO Harris Bradley Center on Saturday.
How They Match Up:
Scoring and defensive stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features Wisconsin's No. 68-ranked scoring average of 73.91 PPG, against a Bears defense rated No. 90 and allowing 67.78 PPG. The Badgers FG% has averaged 45.99% to date this season, more than the Bears shooters have managed so far (45.86% per game).
A few Bears at Badgers trends to consider:
Baylor is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Baylor is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Wisconsin is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 6 games