Elite Eight Pick: Mich State vs. UConn
After knocking off higher-seeded teams in the Sweet 16 on Friday night the No. 4 Michigan State Spartans and the No. 7 UConn Huskies will do battle in the Elite Eight on Sunday.
Michigan State was favored by 5.5 points over at BetOnline late Saturday while the total was 139.
Its a rematch of a 2009 Final game won by MSU, which is riding a hot 7-1 ATS in its past eight games. The Spartans are 6-1 SU, 5-1-1 ATS in Elite 8 since 1996.
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UConn meanwhile is just 2-5 ATS in its past seven trips to Elite 8. However, UConn is 10-4-1 ATS in its past 15 games as underdogs.
Michigan State edged No. 1 Virginia 61-59 in their East Region Sweet 16 matchup, after getting past Delaware and Harvard in their first two games of the tournament. UConn defeated No. 3 Iowa State 81-76 on Friday; they'd already topped Saint Joseph's and Villanova.
Odds Shark computer pick - 74.0-72.5 Spartans
The Spartans sit at 29-8 (21-14-1 ATS) on the season. By comparison, the Huskies are currently 29-8 (19-14-2 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Michigan State is 19-17 OU, and Connecticut is 13-22 OU.
It's a betting matchup between the No. 36-rated Spartans and the No. 190-ranked Huskies, according to the latest pro hoops power rankings here at Odds Shark.
Connecticut was an 81-76 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Iowa State. They covered the 1-point spread as underdogs. Iowa State was victimized for 27 points and 10 rebounds by DeAndre Daniels as the Huskies bested the Cyclones 81-76 in college basketball action on Friday.
In their last action, Michigan State was a 61-59 winner on the road against Virginia. They failed to cover the 2.5-point spread as favorites. Branden Dawson scored 24 points and helped out with 10 rebounds for Michigan State on Friday, leading the Spartans to a 61-59 victory over Virginia at Madison Square Garden.
How They Match Up:
Scoring and defensive stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features Michigan State's No. 41-ranked scoring average of 76.11 PPG, against a Huskies defense rated No. 33 and allowing 64 PPG. The Spartans FG% has averaged 47.61% to date this season, more than the Huskies shooters have managed so far (45.02% per game).
A few Huskies at Spartans trends to consider:
Connecticut is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Connecticut is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Connecticut's last 17 games
Michigan State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games