Elite Eight Betting: Florida vs. Dayton
The NCAA Tournament's top seed will take on the biggest Cinderella story of March Madness on Saturday as the Florida Gators go up against the Dayton Flyers in the Elite Eight.
Florida advanced past the Sweet 16 with a win over UCLA on Thursday night; they had previously beaten Albany and Pittsburgh in their first two games. Dayton has knocked out Ohio State, Syracuse, and Stanford so far in the tourney.
The Flyers opened as 10-point underdogs against the Gators over at Bovada with a total of 133 according to BookMaker. The last two times an 11 faced a No. 1, the 11’s won (VCU vs. Kansas in 2011 and George Mason vs. UConn in 2006).
Florida is 4-1 SU and ATS vs 11 seeds since 1999 but Dayton is 7-1 ATS past seven games. As well, Florida has lost three straight Elite Eight games while Dayton is 9-3 ATS in 12 games as dog this season.
The Gators bring a 35-2 record (17-13-3 ATS) to this tilt against the 26-10 Flyers, who are 20-12 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have witnessed Florida go 11-21-1 so far and the Flyers go 17-14.
The Power Rankings at Odds Shark show No. 48-rated Dayton taking on the No. 7-rated Gators in this contest.
Last time out for Dayton, they were an 82-72 winner as they battled Stanford on the road. They covered in the match as a 3.5-point underdog. The Flyers grabbed an 82-72 win over the Cardinal on Thursday, behind an 18 -point effort from Jordan Sibert at FedExForum.
Florida was a 79-68 winner in their most recent outing at home against UCLA. They covered the 4.5-point spread as favorites. The Gators got 19 points from Michael Frazier II as Florida ran past UCLA 79-68 on Thursday at FedExForum.
How They Match Up:
Rebounding is always a key handicapping consideration and Flyers is ranked No. 129 in NCAA hoops at 35.08 per game. Contrast that with Florida’s No. 97 mark in the paint. When it comes to three-point shooting, Florida is the No. 94-ranked team in the country at 6.73 per game, while Dayton rates No. 101 at 6.53 per game.
A few Flyers at Gators trends to consider:
Dayton is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Dayton is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Florida is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games