March Madness Bracket Picks, Trends

Saturday’s action features plenty of upset opportunity for March Madness bettors and poolies alike.

Among the interesting trends are 11 seeds going 4-2 lately against 3 seeds. This means trouble for Syracuse.

There is also the matter of 2 seeds winning 10 in a row against 7 seeds, which is good news for Michigan, Villanova and Wisconsin.

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South Region Trends

Pitt 9 vs Florida 1 – predicted score 72.6-70.7 Gators

Florida has won 27 straight games as favorites

Florida won and covered three straight Round 2 games

9 seeds covered four in a row vs 1 seeds

Dayton 11 vs Syracuse 3 – predicted score 70.4-67.2 Orange

11 seeds have won four of past six meetings vs 3 seeds

Dayton 9-4 ATS past 13 games overall

Dayton 7-3 ATS past 10 games as underdogs

Syracuse played five straight OVERs

Syracuse lost as a 3 seed vs an 11 in 2011 (Marquette)

East Region Trends

Harvard 12 vs Michigan State 4 – predicted score 73.6-71.7 Michigan State

12 seeds are 6-1 ATS vs 4 seeds since 2006

Harvard 7-1 ATS past eight games

UNDER is 9-2 past 11 Harvard games when underdog

Michigan State 6-0 ATS past six games

Michigan State 8-2 ATS past 10 games as favorites

Michigan State 7-2 ATS in 9 second-round games since 2001

UConn 7 vs Villanova 2 – predicted score 70.1-62.9 Wildcats

2 seeds have won 10 straight vs 7 seeds

UNDER is 13-2 past 15 UConn games

UConn 2-8-2 ATS past 12 games vs Villanova

Villanova 9-3 ATS past 12 games as favorites

UConn 6-2 ATS past eight tournament games

West Region Trends

North Dakota State 12 vs San Diego State 4 – predicted score 68-63 ND State

12 seeds are 6-1 ATS vs 4 seeds since 2006

San Diego State 24-2 SU past 26 games when favored

San Diego State 1-4 ATS in tournament after ATS loss Thursday to NM St

Oregon 7 vs Wisconsin 2 predicted score 76.9-75.4 Badgers

2 seeds have won 10 straight vs 7 seeds

Oregon 9-2-1 ATS past 12 games overall

Oregon 9-2 ATS past 11 games as underdog

Oregon 4-0 ATS past four tournament games

Wisconsin was upset twice against 7 seeds (UNLV in 2007, Texas in 1997)

Midwest Region Trends

Saint Louis 5 vs Louisville 4 – predicted score 72.8-61.6 Cardinals

4 seeds on 6-1 ATS vs 5 seeds since 2010

Saint Louis 1-8-1 ATS past 10 games overall

Louisville is 4-1 ATS when favored in second round since 1996

Texas 7 vs Michigan 2 – predicted score 74.1-69.3 Michigan Wolverines

2 seeds have won 10 straight vs 7 seeds

Texas 2-6-1 ATS past nine games overall

Michigan won eight straight games when favored

First meeting since 1996 (UT won 80-76)

Texas 0-3 SU, 3-0 ATS vs 2 seeds since 1996

 

 

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