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March Madness Seeds: 5 vs 12

Only once in the past 14 March Madness tournaments have the No. 5 seeds shut out the 12 seeds, and that was back in 2007. Most years, at least a pair of 12 seeds upset their neighbors at No. 5 in the bracket. And each of the past two seasons, three No. 12 seeds won outright to continue this hazardous pairing which busts many brackets.

For college basketball bettors, it is not whether you are going to pick an upset involving a No. 12 seed every year, but how many you are picking. Last year, it was Stephen F. Austin, North Dakota State and Harvard that advanced to the second round as No. 12 seeds after upsetting Virginia Commonwealth, Oklahoma and Cincinnati, respectively. In 2013, it was Mississippi, California and Oregon all winning as No. 12 seeds. Over the last seven years, No. 12 seeds are an impressive 18-9-1 against the spread while also going 15-13 straight-up. They are 6-1-1 ATS combined over the past two years alone.

However, No. 12 seeds seldom advance deep into the NCAA Tournament, with just one team making it as far as the Elite Eight (Missouri back in 2002). But out of 44 No. 12 seeds that have upset No. 5 seeds in the first round since the tourney field expanded to 64 teams in 1985, 12 of them (27 percent) have followed that up with another victory.

Despite all the success No. 12 seeds have enjoyed in the previous three years of March Madness with an 8-4 SU record and 8-3-1 mark ATS in the first round, there has been only one team among those winners that made it to the second (Oregon in 2013). Prior to 2013, at least one No. 12 seed advanced to the second round in four straight years, including two in 2008.

The last time No. 5 seeds had a winning record ATS against No. 12 seeds at 3-1 was also the last time they swept them in four games SU (2007). In the following two years though, No. 12 seeds bounced back by going 5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS.

Seed vs Seed Stats: 1 vs 16 | 2 vs 15 | 3 vs 14 | 4 vs 13 | 5 vs 12 | 6 vs 11 | 7 vs 10 | 8 vs 9

#5 Seed vs # 12 Seed
#5 Seed Score #12 Seed Score Date ATS Win Win Seed ATS Seed
Virginia Commonwealth 75 Stephen F. Austin 77 2014-03-21 Stephen F. Austin 12 12
Oklahoma 75 North Dakota State 80 2014-03-20 North Dakota State 12 12
Saint Louis 83 North Carolina State 80 2014-03-20 Push 5  
Cincinnati 57 Harvard 61 2014-03-20 Harvard 12 12
Wisconsin 46 Mississippi 57 2013-03-22 Mississippi 12 12
Virginia Commonwealth 88 Akron 42 2013-03-21 Virginia Commonwealth 5 5
UNLV 61 California 64 2013-03-21 California 12 12
Oklahoma State 55 Oregon 68 2013-03-21 Oregon 12 12
Temple 44 South Florida 58 2012-03-16 South Florida 12 12
Wichita State 59 Virginia Commonwealth 62 2012-03-15 Virginia Commonwealth 12 12
Vanderbilt 79 Harvard 70 2012-03-15 Vanderbilt 5 5
New Mexico 75 Long Beach State 68 2012-03-15 New Mexico 5 5
Arizona 77 Memphis 75 2011-03-18 Memphis 5 12
Kansas State 73 Utah State 68 2011-03-17 Kansas State 5 5
Vanderbilt 66 Richmond 69 2011-03-17 Richmond 12 12
West Virginia 84 Clemson 76 2011-03-17 West Virginia 5 5
Michigan State 70 New Mexico State 67 2010-03-19 New Mexico State 5 12
Texas A&M 69 Utah State 53 2010-03-19 Texas A&M 5 5
Temple 65 Cornell 78 2010-03-19 Cornell 12 12
Butler 77 Texas El Paso 59 2010-03-18 Butler 5 5
Florida State 59 Wisconsin 61 2009-03-20 Wisconsin 12 12
Utah 71 Arizona 84 2009-03-20 Arizona 12 12
Illinois 72 Western Kentucky 76 2009-03-19 Western Kentucky 12 12
Purdue 61 Northern Iowa 56 2009-03-19 Northern Iowa 5 12
Clemson 69 Villanova 75 2008-03-21 Villanova 12 12
Drake 99 Western Kentucky 101 2008-03-21 Western Kentucky 12 12
Notre Dame 68 George Mason 50 2008-03-20 Notre Dame 5 5
Michigan State 72 Temple 61 2008-03-20 Michigan State 5 5
USC 77 Arkansas 60 2007-03-16 USC 5 5
Virginia Tech 54 Illinois 52 2007-03-16 Illinois 5 12
Tennessee 121 Long Beach State 86 2007-03-16 Tennessee 5 5
Butler 57 Old Dominion 46 2007-03-15 Butler 5 5
Pittsburgh 79 Kent State 64 2006-03-17 Pittsburgh 5 5
Washington 75 Utah State 61 2006-03-16 Washington 5 5
Syracuse 58 Texas A&M 66 2006-03-16 Texas A&M 12 12
Nevada 79 Montana 87 2006-03-16 Montana 12 12
Michigan State 89 Old Dominion 81 2005-03-18 Michigan State 5 5
Georgia Tech 80 George Washington 68 2005-03-18 Georgia Tech 5 5
Villanova 55 New Mexico 47 2005-03-18 Villanova 5 5
Alabama 73 Wisc-Milwaukee 83 2005-03-17 Wisc-Milwaukee 12 12
Providence 58 Pacific 66 2004-03-19 Pacific 12 12
Illinois 72 Murray State 53 2004-03-19 Illinois 5 5
Syracuse 80 BYU 75 2004-03-18 Syracuse 5 5
Florida 60 Manhattan 75 2004-03-18 Manhattan 12 12
Mississippi State 46 Butler 47 2003-03-21 Butler 12 12
Notre Dame 70 Wisc-Milwaukee 69 2003-03-20 Wisc-Milwaukee 5 12
Wisconsin 81 Weber State 74 2003-03-20 Wisconsin 5 5
Connecticut 58 BYU 53 2003-03-20 Connecticut 5 5
Florida 82 Creighton 83 2002-03-15 Creighton 12 12
Miami 80 Missouri 93 2002-03-14 Missouri 12 12
Indiana 75 Utah 56 2002-03-14 Indiana 5 5
Marquette 69 Tulsa 71 2002-03-14 Tulsa 12 12
Virginia 85 Gonzaga 86 2001-03-16 Gonzaga 12 12
Syracuse 79 Hawaii 69 2001-03-16 Syracuse 5 5
Ohio State 68 Utah State 77 2001-03-15 Utah State 12 12
Cincinnati 84 BYU 59 2001-03-15 Cincinnati 5 5
Florida 69 Butler 68 2000-03-17 Butler 5 12
Connecticut 75 Utah State 67 2000-03-17 Utah State 5 12
Kentucky 85 St. Bonaventure 80 2000-03-16 St. Bonaventure 5 12
Texas 77 Indiana State 61 2000-03-16 Texas 5 5
Wisconsin 32 Missouri State 43 1999-03-12 Missouri State 12 12
Charlotte 81 Rhode Island 70 1999-03-12 Charlotte 5 5
UCLA 53 Detroit 56 1999-03-11 Detroit 12 12
Iowa 77 UAB 64 1999-03-11 Iowa 5 5
TCU 87 Florida State 96 1998-03-13 Florida State 12 12
Syracuse 63 Iona 61 1998-03-13 Iona 5 12
Princeton 69 UNLV 57 1998-03-12 Princeton 5 5
Illinois 64 South Alabama 51 1998-03-12 Illinois 5 5
Tulsa 81 Boston University 52 1997-03-14 Tulsa 5 5
Boston College 73 Valparaiso 66 1997-03-13 Valparaiso 5 12
Maryland 66 College of Charleston 75 1997-03-13 College of Charleston 12 12
California 55 Princeton 52 1997-03-13 Push 5  
Memphis 63 Drexel 75 1996-03-14 Drexel 12 12
Mississippi State 58 Virginia Commonwealth 51 1996-03-14 Mississippi State 5 5
Iowa State 74 California 64 1996-03-14 Iowa State 5 5
Penn State 80 Arkansas 86 1996-03-14 Arkansas 12 12