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March Madness Seeds: 5 vs 12

Only once in the past 15 March Madness tournaments have the No. 5 seeds shut out the 12 seeds, and that was back in 2007. Most years, at least a pair of 12 seeds upset their neighbors at No. 5 in the bracket. In two of the past three seasons, three No. 12 seeds won outright to continue this hazardous pairing which busts many brackets.

For college basketball bettors, it is not whether you are going to pick an upset involving a No. 12 seed every year, but how many you are picking. Last year, it was Stephen F. Austin, North Dakota State and Harvard that advanced to the second round as No. 12 seeds after upsetting Virginia Commonwealth, Oklahoma and Cincinnati, respectively. In 2013, it was Mississippi, California and Oregon all winning as No. 12 seeds. Over the last seven years, No. 12 seeds are an impressive 18-9-1 against the spread while also going 15-13 straight-up. They are 6-1-1 ATS combined over the past two years alone.

However, No. 12 seeds seldom advance deep into the NCAA Tournament, with just one team making it as far as the Elite Eight (Missouri back in 2002). But out of 44 No. 12 seeds that have upset No. 5 seeds in the first round since the tourney field expanded to 64 teams in 1985, 12 of them (27 percent) have followed that up with another victory.

Despite all the success No. 12 seeds have enjoyed in the previous three years of March Madness with an 8-4 SU record and 8-3-1 mark ATS in the first round, there has been only one team among those winners that made it to the second (Oregon in 2013). Prior to 2013, at least one No. 12 seed advanced to the second round in four straight years, including two in 2008.

The last time No. 5 seeds had a winning record ATS against No. 12 seeds at 3-1 was also the last time they swept them in four games SU (2007). In the following two years though, No. 12 seeds bounced back by going 5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS.

Seed vs Seed Stats: 1 vs 16 | 2 vs 15 | 3 vs 14 | 4 vs 13 | 5 vs 12 | 6 vs 11 | 7 vs 10 | 8 vs 9

#5 Seed vs # 12 Seed
#5 SeedScore#12 SeedScoreDateATS WinWin SeedATS Seed
Utah57Stephen F. Austin502015-03-20Stephen F. Austin55
Northern Iowa71Wyoming542015-03-21Northern Iowa55
Arkansas56Wofford532015-03-19Wofford1212
West Virginia68Buffalo622015-03-20West Virginia55
Virginia Commonwealth75Stephen F. Austin772014-03-21Stephen F. Austin1212
Oklahoma75North Dakota State802014-03-20North Dakota State1212
Saint Louis83North Carolina State802014-03-20Push5 
Cincinnati57Harvard612014-03-20Harvard1212
Wisconsin46Mississippi572013-03-22Mississippi1212
Virginia Commonwealth88Akron422013-03-21Virginia Commonwealth55
UNLV61California642013-03-21California1212
Oklahoma State55Oregon682013-03-21Oregon1212
Temple44South Florida582012-03-16South Florida1212
Wichita State59Virginia Commonwealth622012-03-15Virginia Commonwealth1212
Vanderbilt79Harvard702012-03-15Vanderbilt55
New Mexico75Long Beach State682012-03-15New Mexico55
Arizona77Memphis752011-03-18Memphis512
Kansas State73Utah State682011-03-17Kansas State55
Vanderbilt66Richmond692011-03-17Richmond1212
West Virginia84Clemson762011-03-17West Virginia55
Michigan State70New Mexico State672010-03-19New Mexico State512
Texas A&M69Utah State532010-03-19Texas A&M55
Temple65Cornell782010-03-19Cornell1212
Butler77Texas El Paso592010-03-18Butler55
Florida State59Wisconsin612009-03-20Wisconsin1212
Utah71Arizona842009-03-20Arizona1212
Illinois72Western Kentucky762009-03-19Western Kentucky1212
Purdue61Northern Iowa562009-03-19Northern Iowa512
Clemson69Villanova752008-03-21Villanova1212
Drake99Western Kentucky1012008-03-21Western Kentucky1212
Notre Dame68George Mason502008-03-20Notre Dame55
Michigan State72Temple612008-03-20Michigan State55
USC77Arkansas602007-03-16USC55
Virginia Tech54Illinois522007-03-16Illinois512
Tennessee121Long Beach State862007-03-16Tennessee55
Butler57Old Dominion462007-03-15Butler55
Pittsburgh79Kent State642006-03-17Pittsburgh55
Washington75Utah State612006-03-16Washington55
Syracuse58Texas A&M662006-03-16Texas A&M1212
Nevada79Montana872006-03-16Montana1212
Michigan State89Old Dominion812005-03-18Michigan State55
Georgia Tech80George Washington682005-03-18Georgia Tech55
Villanova55New Mexico472005-03-18Villanova55
Alabama73Wisc-Milwaukee832005-03-17Wisc-Milwaukee1212
Providence58Pacific662004-03-19Pacific1212
Illinois72Murray State532004-03-19Illinois55
Syracuse80BYU752004-03-18Syracuse55
Florida60Manhattan752004-03-18Manhattan1212
Mississippi State46Butler472003-03-21Butler1212
Notre Dame70Wisc-Milwaukee692003-03-20Wisc-Milwaukee512
Wisconsin81Weber State742003-03-20Wisconsin55
Connecticut58BYU532003-03-20Connecticut55
Florida82Creighton832002-03-15Creighton1212
Miami80Missouri932002-03-14Missouri1212
Indiana75Utah562002-03-14Indiana55
Marquette69Tulsa712002-03-14Tulsa1212
Virginia85Gonzaga862001-03-16Gonzaga1212
Syracuse79Hawaii692001-03-16Syracuse55
Ohio State68Utah State772001-03-15Utah State1212
Cincinnati84BYU592001-03-15Cincinnati55
Florida69Butler682000-03-17Butler512
Connecticut75Utah State672000-03-17Utah State512
Kentucky85St. Bonaventure802000-03-16St. Bonaventure512
Texas77Indiana State612000-03-16Texas55
Wisconsin32Missouri State431999-03-12Missouri State1212
Charlotte81Rhode Island701999-03-12Charlotte55
UCLA53Detroit561999-03-11Detroit1212
Iowa77UAB641999-03-11Iowa55
TCU87Florida State961998-03-13Florida State1212
Syracuse63Iona611998-03-13Iona512
Princeton69UNLV571998-03-12Princeton55
Illinois64South Alabama511998-03-12Illinois55
Tulsa81Boston University521997-03-14Tulsa55
Boston College73Valparaiso661997-03-13Valparaiso512
Maryland66College of Charleston751997-03-13College of Charleston1212
California55Princeton521997-03-13Push5 
Memphis63Drexel751996-03-14Drexel1212
Mississippi State58Virginia Commonwealth511996-03-14Mississippi State55
Iowa State74California641996-03-14Iowa State55
Penn State80Arkansas861996-03-14Arkansas1212

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