Saint Louis comes in to March Madness as the nation's hottest betting team with a scorching 15-1 ATS mark in their past 16 games.
They face a New Mexico State Aggies team that earned a 13 seed but had no Top 25 victories all season long. New Mexico State has lost six straight tournament games since 1993.
The Billikens meanwhile are a top pick to make noise in the Midwest bracket. They are 27-6 and won the Atlantic 10 conference this season.
They count on forward Dwayne Evans and enjoyed an RPI ranking of 16. They are also 17-3 ATS in their past 20 games as a favorite, while the Aggies played OVER 7-0-1 past 8 games away from home.
Saint Louis will face the 24-10 Aggies, who own a 17-11-3 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Billikens are 12-16-1 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Aggies are 12-15-2 favoring the OVER.
The Billikens were listed as 9-point favorites at most sportsbooks tracked by Odds Shark earlier in the day. It opened at 5Dimes, where the total was sitting at 122 early in the week.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Billikens - Aggies odds would favor the Aggies if the lines were set according to our power ranks. Saint Louis is rated No. 58 in the current Odds Shark poll, while New Mexico State is at No. 43. Mathematical models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 75-70 win for the Billikens.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Saint Louis's No. 146 nationally ranked offense (68.7 points per game) against a Aggies defense that sits as the No. 59 at 62.1 PPG. The Billikens have been averaging 44.8% from the field, less than the Aggies have managed so far this season (46.1% on average).
Defensively, New Mexico State features the nation's No. 167-rated defense on the road, allowing 69.1 points per game. Saint Louis, meanwhile, comes in at No. 177 nationally in scoring at home.
New Mexico State was a 64-55 winner in their most recent outing at home against Texas-Arlington. They covered the 5-point spread as favorites. The Aggies grabbed a 64-55 win over the Mavericks on Saturday, behind a 16-point effort from Sim Bhullar at Orleans Arena.
Saint Louis was a 62-56 winner in its last match at home against Virginia Commonwealth. They covered the 1.5-point spread as favorites. Saint Louis earned a 62-56 victory over Virginia Commonwealth on Sunday, getting 19 points from Kwamain Mitchell at Barclays Center.
New Mexico State Aggies Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 8-2
After playing Texas-Arlington are 4-2
After a win are 8-2
Saint Louis Billikens Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 6-4
After playing Virginia Commonwealth are 1-1
After a win are 9-1
A few Aggies at Billikens trends to consider:
Saint Louis is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saint Louis's last 5 games