The last undefeated team in the nation this season, Murray State, runs with Colorado State in the 6-vs.-11 game in the West Region Thursday afternoon.
The one-loss Racers, who won both the Ohio Valley Conference regular-season and tournament titles, are favored by four points over the Rams, who got an at-large bid as the fourth-place team in the Mountain West.
The No. 11 team is 8-3-1 ATS past three Marches – the UNDER is identical 8-3-1 in those 12 games. This matchup is a neutral-site affair being played at KFC Yum! Center.
The Rams will try to spoil to the party on Thursday; they are 17-11-1 ATS against the number this season, while the Racers are 15-12 ATS. Colorado State is 15-12-2 on the totals; Murray State is 12-15.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 34 (Racers) and the No. 175 (Rams) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAB power rank. A 82-71 result in favor of the Racers has been projected by the scores prediction engine.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Murray State's No. 40-ranked offense, averaging 74.2 PPG, against a Rams defense that ranks No. 217 at 68.4 PPG. The Racers field goal percentage has averaged 47.7% so far, more than the Rams marksmen have achieved on the year, 47.6% per game.
Defensively, Colorado State features the nation's No. 276-rated defense on the road, allowing 74.2 points per game. Murray State, meanwhile, comes in at No. 84 nationally in scoring at home.
Colorado State lost its last outing, a 79-69 result against San Diego State on March 9. They failed to cover in that game as a 2.5-point underdog. Colorado State got 20 points from Dorian Green but lost anyway, 79-69, to San Diego State on Friday at Thomas & Mack Center.
Murray State was a 54-52 winner in their most recent outing at home against Tennessee State. They failed to cover the 6.5-point spread as favorites. Donte Poole scored 14 points leading the Racers to a 54-52 victory over Tennessee State at Municipal Auditorium on Saturday.
Colorado State Rams Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 4-6
After playing San Diego State are 5-5
After a loss are 6-4
Murray State Racers Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 8-2
After playing Tennessee State are 6-4
After a win are 9-1
A few Rams at Racers trends to consider:
Murray State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Murray State's last 6 games