Pitt vs Louisville Big East betting preview
Louisville beat Pittsburgh twice last season but only paid off on the college hoops odds in one of those games. Those Big East schools will meet on the floor at the KFC Yum! Center on Monday.
Louisville got past Pittsburgh 73-62 as a 3.5-point road underdog and 57-54 as a 7.5-point home favorite in their two meetings last season, making them 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in their past five matchups. The OVER/UNDER went 1-1 in their two 2012 contests.
The Panthers will try to spoil to the party on Monday; they are 7-8 ATS against the number this season, while the Cardinals are 10-9-1 ATS. Pittsburgh is 9-4 on the totals; Louisville is 9-8.
The Panthers were listed as 6.5-point underdogs at many online sportsbooks, including Sportsbook.ag.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Cardinals sit at No. 5 in the current college hoops power poll here at Odds Shark, while the Panthers sit at No. 51 on the same chart. The computers running our scores simulations have concluded that the Panthers will win this game 83-82.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Louisville's No. 41 nationally ranked offense (74.5 points per game) against a Panthers defense that sits as the No. 6 at 54.5 PPG. The Cardinals have been averaging 44.7% from the field, less than the Panthers have managed so far this season (49.2% on average).
Comparing how these foes stack up statistically, Pittsburgh owns the country's No. 8-rated mark, allowing 57.2 points per game on the highway. Louisville, on the other hand, rates No. 51 in scoring at home.
Pittsburgh won its last outing, a 93-55 result against DePaul on January 26. They covered in that game as a 16-point favorite. The battle between the Panthers and Blue Demons didn’t turn out to be much of a battle at all as DePaul was handed a 93-55 defeat on Saturday at Petersen Events Center.
Louisville lost its last outing, a 53-51 result against Georgetown on January 26. They failed to cover in that game as a 5.5-point favorite. The Cardinals endured a 53-51 loss at the hands of the Hoyas on Saturday, despite a 12-point effort from Gorgui Dieng at Verizon Center.
Pittsburgh Panthers Trends:
When playing on Monday are 8-2
Before playing Syracuse are 7-3
After playing DePaul are 5-3
After a win are 8-2
Louisville Cardinals Trends:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Marquette are 8-2
After playing Georgetown are 6-3
After a loss are 6-4
A few Panthers at Cardinals trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Louisville
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Louisville is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
Louisville is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games at home
Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh home to Syracuse, Saturday, February 2
Louisville home to Marquette, Sunday, February 3