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NCAA hoops odds preview - Evansville vs. Missouri State

Evansville Purple AcesMissouri State Bears
Jan 15, 3:05 PM | JQH Arena

Evansville Purple Aces vs Missouri State Bears Odds

7-9TEAM RECORD11-7

The Missouri State Bears will hit the floor running against the visiting Evansville Purple Aces Sunday, looking to improve their record and boost wagering bankrolls in the process.

Supporters of the Purple Aces have watched them go 7-9 and 7-6 ATS on the year, while the Bears are at 11-7 and 8-6 ATS. In totals betting, the Bears are 10-4, while the Purple Aces have a 9-4 mark.

View Evansville vs Missouri State Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
College basketball odds makers opened the Bears as 10-point favorites in this matchupl.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Bears - Purple Aces odds would favor the Bears if the lines were set according to our power ranks. Missouri State is rated No. 49 in the current Odds Shark poll, while Evansville is at No. 288. Mathematical models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 75-68 win for the Bears.

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How They Match Up:
Rating these schools in several key categories is important for handicappers and Missouri State has the nation's No. 173-rated offensive output, at 68.4 PPG. The visiting Purple Aces defense ranks No. 277 allowing on average 72.1 PPG. The Bears FG% has averaged 45.8% so far, more than the Purple Aces marksmen have achieved on the year, 45.1% per game.

Comparing how these foes stack up statistically, Evansville owns the country's No. 311-rated mark, allowing 78.5 points per game on the highway. Missouri State, on the other hand, rates No. 204 in scoring at home.

Evansville was a 69-60 loser in their most recent outing at home against Drake. They failed to cover the 5-point spread as favorites. Ryan Sawvell scored 14 points in a futile effort to lead the Purple Aces to a win (they lost 69-60 to Drake at Ford Center on Friday).

Missouri State lost its last outing, a 61-60 result against Northern Iowa on January 13. They covered in that game as a 6-point underdog. Caleb Patterson scored 24 points in a futile effort to lead the Bears to a win (they lost 61-60 to Northern Iowa at McLeod Center on Friday).

Evansville Purple Aces Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 5-5
Before playing Bradley are 4-6
After playing Drake are 4-6
After a loss are 6-4

Missouri State Bears Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 6-4
Before playing Creighton are 6-4
After playing Northern Iowa are 3-7
After a loss are 6-4

A few Purple Aces at Bears trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Evansville's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Evansville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Missouri State
Evansville is 2-4-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Missouri State
Evansville is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Missouri State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Evansville
Missouri State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
Missouri State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Evansville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri State's last 5 games

Next up:
Evansville home to Bradley, Wednesday, January 18
Missouri State home to Creighton, Wednesday, January 18

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