NCAA hoops odds preview - San Jose State vs. UC Davis
San Jose State Spartans vs UC Davis Aggies Odds
College hoops betting interest focuses on the UC Davis vs San Jose State battle Wednesday at UC Davis Pavilion as the Aggies look to defend home court and cover the NCAA basketball point spread.
The Aggies are 1-4 so far on the season, and 4-1 ATS vs. the number. The Spartans, meanwhile, are 3-3 and 3-1 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen UC Davis go 2-1 and the Spartans go 2-1 on the totals.
Bettors looking to go with the Aggies in this one found them listed as 3-point favorites earlier on the NCAA basketball betting menu for Monday's contest. Check for updates as money coming in on the Spartans was expected to move the line.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Aggies - Spartans odds would favor the Spartans if the lines were set according to our power ranks. UC Davis is rated No. 183 in the current Odds Shark poll, while San Jose State is at No. 61. Mathematical models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 79-73 win for the Spartans.
How They Match Up:
Scoring and defensive stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features UC Davis's No. 49-ranked scoring average of 76.6 PPG, against a Spartans defense rated No. 231 and allowing 69 PPG. The Aggies FG% has averaged 48.6% to date this season, more than the Spartans shooters have managed so far (46% per game).
Defensively, San Jose State features the nation's No. 205-rated defense on the road, allowing 72 points per game. UC Davis, meanwhile, comes in at No. 52 nationally in scoring at home.
San Jose State was an 82-74 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Montana State. They covered the 1.5-point spread as underdogs. James Kinney scored 23 points leading the Spartans to an 82-74 victory over Montana State at Worthington Arena on Saturday.
UC Davis lost its last outing, a 73-66 result against Idaho on December 1. They covered in that game as an 8-point underdog. Corey Hawkins scored 20 points in a futile effort to lead the Aggies to a win (they lost 73-66 to Idaho at Cowan Spectrum on Saturday).
San Jose State Spartans Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 1-9
Before playing Sacramento State are 4-3
After playing Montana State are 3-3
After a win are 2-8
UC Davis Aggies Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 2-8
Before playing Stanford are 2-3
After playing Idaho are 0-1
After a loss are 4-6
A few Spartans at Aggies trends to consider:
San Jose State is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games on the road
UC Davis is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home
UC Davis is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
San Jose State home to Sacramento State, Saturday, December 8
UC Davis at Stanford, Saturday, December 15