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NCAA hoops odds preview - Virginia vs. North Carolina

Virginia CavaliersNorth Carolina Tar Heels
Feb 16, 12:00 PM | Dean Smith Center

Virginia Cavaliers vs North Carolina Tar Heels Odds

18-6TEAM RECORD16-8

The North Carolina Tar Heels will hit the floor running against the visiting Virginia Cavaliers Saturday, looking to improve their record and boost wagering bankrolls in the process.

The Cavaliers will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 14-7-1 ATS against the number this season, while the Tar Heels are 13-9 ATS. Virginia is 9-8 on the totals; North Carolina is 11-11.

View Virginia vs North Carolina Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
On the opening NCAA basketball line for this matchup, North Carolina sat as 6-point favorites over at 5Dimes. Also, check out the current total, which often goes up first at online sportsbook BetOnline.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to new college basketball power rankings here, it's the No. 44-ranked Tar Heels and the No. 127-rated Cavaliers in this matchup. Computer formulas aimed at predicting NCAAB scores point to a 78-74 win for the Cavaliers on Saturday.

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How They Match Up:
Rebounding is always a key handicapping consideration and Cavaliers is ranked No. 262 in NCAA hoops at 32.7 per game. Contrast that with North Carolina’s No. 6 mark in the paint. When it comes to three-point shooting, North Carolina is the No. 81-ranked team in the country at 7 per game, while Virginia rates No. 151 at 6.3 per game.

Defensively, Virginia features the nation's No. 23-rated defense on the road, allowing 60.9 points per game. North Carolina, meanwhile, comes in at No. 20 nationally in scoring at home.

Last time out for Virginia, they were a 73-55 winner as they battled Virginia Tech at home. They covered in the match as a 14-point favorite. Joe Harris went off for 26 points and added 4 rebounds, leading Virginia over Virginia Tech, 73-55, on Tuesday at John Paul Jones Arena.

North Carolina was a 73-68 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Duke. They covered the 11-point spread as underdogs. North Carolina suffered a 73-68 loss against Duke on Wednesday, getting 23 points from P.J. Hairston in a losing effort at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

Virginia Cavaliers Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 5-5
Before playing Miami are 8-2
After playing Virginia Tech are 5-5
After a win are 7-3

North Carolina Tar Heels Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 7-3
Before playing Georgia Tech are 6-4
After playing Duke are 9-1
After a loss are 8-2

A few Cavaliers at Tar Heels trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia's last 5 games when playing on the road against North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia's last 6 games on the road
Virginia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Virginia is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina's last 5 games when playing Virginia
North Carolina is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
North Carolina is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Virginia
North Carolina is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Virginia

Next up:
Virginia at Miami, Tuesday, February 19
North Carolina at Georgia Tech, Tuesday, February 19