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UNC favored over NC State

North Carolina has dominated many ACC foes and their state rivals at NC State are no different.

The Tar Heels have beaten the Wolfpack 11 straight by an average of 16.1 points. The nation's best road rebounding team has also outrebounded NC State by 11.5 per game.

And it's not just SU wins - in the past nine meetings, UNC is 8-1 ATS.

The Tar Heels continued their domination Jan. 26 and they have also won seven of eight in Raleigh.

View North Carolina vs North Carolina State Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks had the Wolfpack installed as 6.5-point underdogs in this particular Carolina matchup. It had been bet up quickly over at TopBet as well. The total was 138.5 but could be a good UNDER bet with UNC playing tougher defense in the past weeks.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
It's a betting matchup between the No. 44-rated Wolfpack and the No. 4-ranked Tar Heels, according to the latest pro hoops power rankings here at Odds Shark. Prediction formulas run on this game indicate a possible 89-79 result in favor of the Tar Heels.

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How They Match Up:
Rating these schools in several key categories is important for handicappers and North Carolina State has the nation's No. 52-rated offensive output, at 73.8 PPG. The visiting Tar Heels defense ranks No. 159 allowing on average 66.4 PPG. The Wolfpack FG% has averaged 46% so far, less than the Tar Heels marksmen have achieved on the year, 46.4% per game.

Defensively, North Carolina features the nation's No. 144-rated defense on the road, allowing 69 points per game. North Carolina State, meanwhile, comes in at No. 65 nationally in scoring at home.

In their last action, North Carolina was a 74-52 winner at home against Clemson. They covered the 12.5-point spread as favorites. The battle between the Tar Heels and Tigers didn’t turn out to be much of a battle at all as Clemson was handed a 74-52 defeat on Saturday at Dean Smith Center.

North Carolina State was a 76-62 loser in its last match at home against Florida State. They failed to cover the 1.5-point spread as favorites. North Carolina State got 21 points from C.J. Leslie but lost anyway, 76-62, to Florida State on Saturday at PNC Arena.

North Carolina Tar Heels Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 7-3
Before playing Virginia are 7-3
After playing Clemson are 7-3
After a win are 8-2

North Carolina State Wolfpack Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 7-3
Before playing Clemson are 4-6
After playing Florida State are 4-6
After a loss are 5-5

 

A few Tar Heels at Wolfpack trends to consider:
North Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against North Carolina St
North Carolina is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina's last 7 games when playing on the road against North Carolina St
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 5 games when playing North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 7 games when playing at home against North Carolina
North Carolina State is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
North Carolina State is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

Next up:
North Carolina at Virginia, Saturday, February 25
North Carolina State at Clemson, Saturday, February 25

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