The 17th-ranked Florida Seminoles were 3-1 vs the ACC heavyweights Duke and UNC this season, so betting against them today on the ACC tournament final odds menu could be a mistake.
They are also 7-1 ATS in their past 8 against North Carolina.
The Seminoles try to win their first ACC tournament championship Sunday at Atlanta, where they’ll face the No. 4 Tar Heels.
The Tar Heels sport records of 29-4 and 18-14 ATS heading into this battle, while the Seminoles have 23-9 and 17-13 ATS marks on the season. The OVER/UNDER records are 16-15-1 for the Tar Heels and 16-13-1 for the Seminoles.
View Florida State vs North Carolina Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
On the Sportsbook ACC final odds line for this matchup at Sportsbook, North Carolina sat as 5.5-point favorites. The total was 142.5 at Sportsbook.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Tar Heels - Seminoles odds would favor the Tar Heels if the lines were set according to our power ranks. North Carolina is rated No. 4 in the current Odds Shark poll, while Florida State is at No. 12. Mathematical models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 86-78 win for the Tar Heels.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up North Carolina's No. 2 nationally ranked offense (82 points per game) against a Seminoles defense that sits as the No. 56 at 62.3 PPG. The Tar Heels have been averaging 46.3% from the field, more than the Seminoles have managed so far this season (45.4% on average).
Comparing how these foes stack up statistically, Florida State owns the country's No. 106-rated mark, allowing 67.6 points per game on the highway. North Carolina, on the other hand, rates No. 4 in scoring at home.
Florida State won its last outing, a 62-59 result against Duke on March 10. They covered in that game as a 3-point underdog. The Seminoles grabbed a 62-59 win over the Blue Devils on Saturday, behind a 16-point effort from Michael Snaer at Philips Arena.
Last time out for North Carolina, they were a 69-67 Sportsbook as they battled North Carolina State at home. They failed to cover in the match as a 9.5-point favorite. Tyler Zeller scored 23 points leading the Tar Heels to a 69-67 victory over North Carolina State at Philips Arena on Saturday.
Florida State Seminoles Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 4-6
After playing Duke are 6-4
After a win are 8-2
North Carolina Tar Heels Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 7-3
After playing North Carolina State are 7-3
After a win are 9-1
A few Seminoles at Tar Heels trends to consider:
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina's last 6 games when playing Florida State
North Carolina is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Florida State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 6 games
