The Providence Friars have picked up two ATS wins in their past three games against the Louisville Cardinals as those Big East schools prepare to meet at the KFC Yum! Center on Wednesday.
Providence topped Louisville 90-59 as a 9-point home underdog when those teams last met last January, and they're 2-1 both SU and ATS in the last three matchups between the schools. The Providence vs. Louisville game last season was an OVER result.
The Cardinals bring a 12-1 record (7-6 ATS) to this tilt against the 8-4 Friars, who are 4-4 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have witnessed Louisville go 6-4 so far and the Friars go 4-2.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Cardinals - Friars odds would favor the Cardinals if the lines were set according to our power ranks. Louisville is rated No. 2 in the current Odds Shark poll, while Providence is at No. 59. Mathematical models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 87-76 win for the Cardinals.
How They Match Up:
Rating these schools in several key categories is important for handicappers and Louisville has the nation's No. 29-rated offensive output, at 78.2 PPG. The visiting Friars defense ranks No. 40 allowing on average 58.8 PPG. The Cardinals FG% has averaged 45.7% so far, more than the Friars marksmen have achieved on the year, 43.4% per game.
Comparing how these foes stack up statistically, Providence owns the country's No. 205-rated mark, allowing 72.3 points per game on the highway. Louisville, on the other hand, rates No. 42 in scoring at home.
Providence was a 69-68 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Brown. They failed to cover the 12-point spread as favorites. LaDontae Henton chucked in a team-high 37 points for Providence on Friday, but they still came up short in losing 69-68 at Pizzitola Sports Center.
Last time out for Louisville, they were an 80-77 winner as they battled Kentucky at home. They failed to cover in the match as a 7.5-point favorite. Russ Smith scored 21 points leading the Cardinals to an 80-77 victory over Kentucky at KFC Yum! Center on Saturday.
Providence Friars Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing DePaul are 3-6
After playing Brown are 7-3
After a loss are 3-7
Louisville Cardinals Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
Before playing Seton Hall are 6-3
After playing Kentucky are 10-0
After a win are 9-1
A few Friars at Cardinals trends to consider:
Providence is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Louisville is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Providence
Louisville is 15-6-1 ATS in its last 22 games
Providence home to DePaul, Saturday, January 5
Louisville at Seton Hall, Wednesday, January 9