SEC Odds Preview - Florida vs Mississippi
No. 1 Florida advanced to the SEC Tournament Championship Game with a 61-51 win over No. 4 Alabama on Saturday. Florida will take on No. 3 Ole Miss in the Championship Game on Sunday after Ole Miss defeated No. 10 Vanderbilt 64-52 on Saturday.
Florida is 11-1 SU and 7-5 ATS in its last 12 games against Ole Miss including a current five-game SU winning streak, though Ole Miss is 4-1 ATS over those last five contests. Florida won three straight SEC Tournaments from 2005 to 2007 while Ole Miss is going for just its second SEC Title all-time and first since 1981.
The Rebels will look to vanquish their hosts on Sunday, as they are 15-12-1 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Gators are 16-13 ATS. Mississippi is 15-12 against the total, while Florida is 12-15 versus the number.
If you were backing the visitors in this one, the Rebels were listed as 11-point underdogs earlier in the day at Bovada.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Gators sit at No. 5 in the current college hoops power poll here at Odds Shark, while the Rebels sit at No. 45 on the same chart. The computers running our scores simulations have concluded that the Gators will win this game 86-79.
How They Match Up:
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Rebels rank No. 19 in NCAA Division 1 with 38.8 per game. That compares with Florida’s No. 159 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Florida is college basketball's No. 16-ranked team at 8.3 per game, while the Rebels rate No. 98 with 6.9 per game.
Defensively, Mississippi features the nation's No. 238-rated defense on the road, allowing 72 points per game. Florida, meanwhile, comes in at No. 80 nationally in scoring at home.
Mississippi was a 64-52 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Vanderbilt. They covered the 3.5-point spread as favorites. The Commodores endured a 64-52 loss at the hands of the Rebels on Saturday, despite a 12-point effort from Kedren Johnson at Breslin Center.
Florida was a 61-51 winner in its last match at home against Alabama. They failed to cover the 11.5-point spread as favorites. The Gators got 16 points from Kenny Boynton as Florida ran past Alabama 61-51 on Saturday at Bridgestone Arena.
Mississippi Rebels Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 4-6
After playing Vanderbilt are 4-6
After a win are 6-4
Florida Gators Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 8-2
After playing Alabama are 8-2
After a win are 6-4
A few Rebels at Gators trends to consider:
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida's last 8 games
Florida is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games
Florida is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games